Cool maritime air and widespread cloud cover are anchoring the market's 100% consensus on a 12°C high for Amsterdam today, consistent with KNMI observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing moderate northwest winds and limited afternoon sunshine. These conditions suppress daytime warming well below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early readings near 8–10°C and scattered showers reinforcing the capped trajectory. The implied probability reflects real-time trader alignment with model consensus rather than any single forecast. Minor clearing or reduced wind could theoretically allow a brief rise toward 13°C, though updated Schiphol data and afternoon model runs indicate low likelihood of breaching that threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$42,023 交易量
$42,023 交易量
2026-05-16
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$42,023 交易量
$42,023 交易量
2026-05-16
12°C
$9,638 交易量
100%
13°C
$6,952 交易量
<1%
14°C
$6,261 交易量
<1%
15°C
$4,259 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,835 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,381 交易量
<1%
18°C or higher
$3,057 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Cool maritime air and widespread cloud cover are anchoring the market's 100% consensus on a 12°C high for Amsterdam today, consistent with KNMI observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing moderate northwest winds and limited afternoon sunshine. These conditions suppress daytime warming well below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early readings near 8–10°C and scattered showers reinforcing the capped trajectory. The implied probability reflects real-time trader alignment with model consensus rather than any single forecast. Minor clearing or reduced wind could theoretically allow a brief rise toward 13°C, though updated Schiphol data and afternoon model runs indicate low likelihood of breaching that threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$42,023结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Cool maritime air and widespread cloud cover are anchoring the market's 100% consensus on a 12°C high for Amsterdam today, consistent with KNMI observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing moderate northwest winds and limited afternoon sunshine. These conditions suppress daytime warming well below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early readings near 8–10°C and scattered showers reinforcing the capped trajectory. The implied probability reflects real-time trader alignment with model consensus rather than any single forecast. Minor clearing or reduced wind could theoretically allow a brief rise toward 13°C, though updated Schiphol data and afternoon model runs indicate low likelihood of breaching that threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$42,023结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Cool maritime air and widespread cloud cover are anchoring the market's 100% consensus on a 12°C high for Amsterdam today, consistent with KNMI observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing moderate northwest winds and limited afternoon sunshine. These conditions suppress daytime warming well below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early readings near 8–10°C and scattered showers reinforcing the capped trajectory. The implied probability reflects real-time trader alignment with model consensus rather than any single forecast. Minor clearing or reduced wind could theoretically allow a brief rise toward 13°C, though updated Schiphol data and afternoon model runs indicate low likelihood of breaching that threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题