Market participants have overwhelmingly settled on 20°C as Ankara’s daily maximum temperature for May 16, driven by verified observational data from official meteorological stations confirming this peak under stable high-pressure conditions across central Anatolia. Regional atmospheric patterns, including light winds and limited daytime insolation, prevented significant warming beyond typical mid-May climatology for the area. This consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of traders incorporating real-time station reports rather than model projections. Resolution now hinges on final certified readings, with minimal scope for revision given the absence of conflicting data or extreme microclimate effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,454 交易量
$65,454 交易量
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,454 交易量
$65,454 交易量
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Market participants have overwhelmingly settled on 20°C as Ankara’s daily maximum temperature for May 16, driven by verified observational data from official meteorological stations confirming this peak under stable high-pressure conditions across central Anatolia. Regional atmospheric patterns, including light winds and limited daytime insolation, prevented significant warming beyond typical mid-May climatology for the area. This consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of traders incorporating real-time station reports rather than model projections. Resolution now hinges on final certified readings, with minimal scope for revision given the absence of conflicting data or extreme microclimate effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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