Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 10, reflecting current South African Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance showing highs near 17–18°C under typical winter conditions. June climatology for the region places average daily maxima at approximately 17°C, with low variability driven by the prevailing westerly flow and marine influence from the cold Benguela Current. Official forecasts indicate stable temperatures without significant warm advection or berg wind events that could push readings higher. A realistic shift away from 17°C would require rapid changes in synoptic patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though such deviations remain improbable given the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日开普敦气温最高？
6月10日开普敦气温最高？
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,976 交易量
$43,976 交易量
2026-06-10
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,976 交易量
$43,976 交易量
2026-06-10
13°C或以下
$3,932 交易量
否
14°C
$3,765 交易量
否
15°C
$3,529 交易量
否
16°C
$6,242 交易量
否
17°C
$7,948 交易量
是
18°C
$3,922 交易量
否
19°C
$4,048 交易量
否
20°C
$4,010 交易量
否
21°C
$4,551 交易量
否
22°C
$984 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$1,045 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 10, reflecting current South African Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance showing highs near 17–18°C under typical winter conditions. June climatology for the region places average daily maxima at approximately 17°C, with low variability driven by the prevailing westerly flow and marine influence from the cold Benguela Current. Official forecasts indicate stable temperatures without significant warm advection or berg wind events that could push readings higher. A realistic shift away from 17°C would require rapid changes in synoptic patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though such deviations remain improbable given the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
交易量
$43,976结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 1:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 10, reflecting current South African Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance showing highs near 17–18°C under typical winter conditions. June climatology for the region places average daily maxima at approximately 17°C, with low variability driven by the prevailing westerly flow and marine influence from the cold Benguela Current. Official forecasts indicate stable temperatures without significant warm advection or berg wind events that could push readings higher. A realistic shift away from 17°C would require rapid changes in synoptic patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though such deviations remain improbable given the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,976结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 1:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 10, reflecting current South African Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance showing highs near 17–18°C under typical winter conditions. June climatology for the region places average daily maxima at approximately 17°C, with low variability driven by the prevailing westerly flow and marine influence from the cold Benguela Current. Official forecasts indicate stable temperatures without significant warm advection or berg wind events that could push readings higher. A realistic shift away from 17°C would require rapid changes in synoptic patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though such deviations remain improbable given the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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