Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (42.5%) and 19°C (39.0%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 20°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, following recent cold fronts that brought heavy rain through mid-week. Clearing conditions post-frontal passage favor moderate daytime heating, with AccuWeather and BBC aligning at 19-20°C amid weak high-pressure ridging, consistent with May climatology averaging 20°C highs. Key uncertainties include variable afternoon cloud cover and peak solar insolation timing, as short-range models like GFS and ECMWF show tight ensemble spreads; real-time data from Cape Town International Airport observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
20°C 47%
19°C 46%
18°C 13.4%
21°C 12%
$20,780 交易量
$20,780 交易量
2026-05-15
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
41%
20°C
42%
21°C
12%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 47%
19°C 46%
18°C 13.4%
21°C 12%
$20,780 交易量
$20,780 交易量
2026-05-15
16°C
$987 交易量
<1%
17°C
$3,708 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,480 交易量
13%
19°C
$2,079 交易量
41%
20°C
$1,252 交易量
42%
21°C
$2,069 交易量
12%
22°C
$2,006 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,874 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,009 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (42.5%) and 19°C (39.0%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 20°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, following recent cold fronts that brought heavy rain through mid-week. Clearing conditions post-frontal passage favor moderate daytime heating, with AccuWeather and BBC aligning at 19-20°C amid weak high-pressure ridging, consistent with May climatology averaging 20°C highs. Key uncertainties include variable afternoon cloud cover and peak solar insolation timing, as short-range models like GFS and ECMWF show tight ensemble spreads; real-time data from Cape Town International Airport observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$20,780结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (42.5%) and 19°C (39.0%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 20°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, following recent cold fronts that brought heavy rain through mid-week. Clearing conditions post-frontal passage favor moderate daytime heating, with AccuWeather and BBC aligning at 19-20°C amid weak high-pressure ridging, consistent with May climatology averaging 20°C highs. Key uncertainties include variable afternoon cloud cover and peak solar insolation timing, as short-range models like GFS and ECMWF show tight ensemble spreads; real-time data from Cape Town International Airport observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,780结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (42.5%) and 19°C (39.0%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 20°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, following recent cold fronts that brought heavy rain through mid-week. Clearing conditions post-frontal passage favor moderate daytime heating, with AccuWeather and BBC aligning at 19-20°C amid weak high-pressure ridging, consistent with May climatology averaging 20°C highs. Key uncertainties include variable afternoon cloud cover and peak solar insolation timing, as short-range models like GFS and ECMWF show tight ensemble spreads; real-time data from Cape Town International Airport observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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