Trader consensus on the 19°C outcome dominating at 100% implied probability reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF, which project a daytime maximum near that threshold under mild southerly advection of warmer Atlantic air beneath a high-pressure ridge. Moderate solar insolation combined with partly cloudy skies has supported steady warming from overnight lows near 10°C, aligning closely with Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station observations through midday. This positioning exceeds the May climatological average high of approximately 15°C yet remains well within historical spring variability. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a rapid shift in steering winds that caps the peak below 19°C before the measurement window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$62,637 交易量
$62,637 交易量
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$62,637 交易量
$62,637 交易量
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on the 19°C outcome dominating at 100% implied probability reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF, which project a daytime maximum near that threshold under mild southerly advection of warmer Atlantic air beneath a high-pressure ridge. Moderate solar insolation combined with partly cloudy skies has supported steady warming from overnight lows near 10°C, aligning closely with Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station observations through midday. This positioning exceeds the May climatological average high of approximately 15°C yet remains well within historical spring variability. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a rapid shift in steering winds that caps the peak below 19°C before the measurement window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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