Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station recorded Lagos's highest temperature at 34°C on May 14, 2026, during midday hours before convective cloud cover and thunderstorms capped further warming, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with NiMet's forecast of highs near 35°C, moderated by rainfall, and ECMWF/GFS model projections of 32–33°C baselines elevated by urban heat island effects at the airport amid NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal May conditions above the 31°C historical average. Finalized Wunderground data for DNMM confirms the peak, with revisions unlikely; only an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst could challenge it, counter to observed trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 14?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$64,337 交易量
$64,337 交易量
2026-05-14
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$64,337 交易量
$64,337 交易量
2026-05-14
27°C or below
$3,106 交易量
No
28°C
$2,164 交易量
No
29°C
$2,498 交易量
No
30°C
$1,875 交易量
No
31°C
$1,966 交易量
No
32°C
$1,567 交易量
No
33°C
$2,700 交易量
No
34°C
$27,841 交易量
Yes
35°C
$4,872 交易量
No
36°C
$4,681 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$11,067 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station recorded Lagos's highest temperature at 34°C on May 14, 2026, during midday hours before convective cloud cover and thunderstorms capped further warming, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with NiMet's forecast of highs near 35°C, moderated by rainfall, and ECMWF/GFS model projections of 32–33°C baselines elevated by urban heat island effects at the airport amid NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal May conditions above the 31°C historical average. Finalized Wunderground data for DNMM confirms the peak, with revisions unlikely; only an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst could challenge it, counter to observed trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$64,337结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station recorded Lagos's highest temperature at 34°C on May 14, 2026, during midday hours before convective cloud cover and thunderstorms capped further warming, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with NiMet's forecast of highs near 35°C, moderated by rainfall, and ECMWF/GFS model projections of 32–33°C baselines elevated by urban heat island effects at the airport amid NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal May conditions above the 31°C historical average. Finalized Wunderground data for DNMM confirms the peak, with revisions unlikely; only an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst could challenge it, counter to observed trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,337结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station recorded Lagos's highest temperature at 34°C on May 14, 2026, during midday hours before convective cloud cover and thunderstorms capped further warming, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with NiMet's forecast of highs near 35°C, moderated by rainfall, and ECMWF/GFS model projections of 32–33°C baselines elevated by urban heat island effects at the airport amid NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal May conditions above the 31°C historical average. Finalized Wunderground data for DNMM confirms the peak, with revisions unlikely; only an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst could challenge it, counter to observed trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题