Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high near 24°C in Madrid on May 18 under persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover and supports modest daytime warming. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where Madrid’s average maximum reaches 22–24°C amid typical spring variability from Atlantic troughs or Iberian heat plumes. Minor model spread around 23–25°C keeps implied probabilities clustered there, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent rapid advection changes. Official observations from AEMET stations and Madrid-Barajas Airport will determine resolution, with any late adjustments in steering flow able to shift the peak by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日马德里气温最高？
5月18日马德里气温最高？
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
40%
25°C
17%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C or below
$245 交易量
<1%
19°C
$313 交易量
<1%
20°C
$719 交易量
1%
21°C
$240 交易量
2%
22°C
$284 交易量
9%
23°C
$452 交易量
26%
24°C
$247 交易量
40%
25°C
$456 交易量
17%
26°C
$132 交易量
8%
27°C
$267 交易量
1%
28°C or higher
$283 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high near 24°C in Madrid on May 18 under persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover and supports modest daytime warming. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where Madrid’s average maximum reaches 22–24°C amid typical spring variability from Atlantic troughs or Iberian heat plumes. Minor model spread around 23–25°C keeps implied probabilities clustered there, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent rapid advection changes. Official observations from AEMET stations and Madrid-Barajas Airport will determine resolution, with any late adjustments in steering flow able to shift the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,627结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high near 24°C in Madrid on May 18 under persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover and supports modest daytime warming. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where Madrid’s average maximum reaches 22–24°C amid typical spring variability from Atlantic troughs or Iberian heat plumes. Minor model spread around 23–25°C keeps implied probabilities clustered there, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent rapid advection changes. Official observations from AEMET stations and Madrid-Barajas Airport will determine resolution, with any late adjustments in steering flow able to shift the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,627结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high near 24°C in Madrid on May 18 under persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover and supports modest daytime warming. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where Madrid’s average maximum reaches 22–24°C amid typical spring variability from Atlantic troughs or Iberian heat plumes. Minor model spread around 23–25°C keeps implied probabilities clustered there, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent rapid advection changes. Official observations from AEMET stations and Madrid-Barajas Airport will determine resolution, with any late adjustments in steering flow able to shift the peak by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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