Forecast models from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 13°C in Munich today, driven by persistent cloud cover and a northwesterly airflow that limits daytime heating. Surface observations and ensemble runs show stable boundary-layer conditions with minimal solar insolation, keeping readings well below seasonal averages for mid-May. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain positioning at 13°C. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing develops or if local urban heat-island effects push the official DWD measurement higher than projected, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,209 交易量
$82,209 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,209 交易量
$82,209 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 13°C in Munich today, driven by persistent cloud cover and a northwesterly airflow that limits daytime heating. Surface observations and ensemble runs show stable boundary-layer conditions with minimal solar insolation, keeping readings well below seasonal averages for mid-May. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain positioning at 13°C. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing develops or if local urban heat-island effects push the official DWD measurement higher than projected, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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