Official meteorological observations from primary urban stations in São Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of exactly 24°C on June 10, aligning with the market's resolution criteria and producing the 100% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology for the region typically features highs near 22°C under the influence of the South Atlantic subtropical high, with limited diurnal warming due to urban heat island effects and frequent cloud cover or light precipitation. This measured value fits within the observed range for early winter conditions without requiring anomalous synoptic patterns. New data releases or station revisions remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日圣保罗的最高温度?
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,812 交易量
$29,812 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,812 交易量
$29,812 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from primary urban stations in São Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of exactly 24°C on June 10, aligning with the market's resolution criteria and producing the 100% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology for the region typically features highs near 22°C under the influence of the South Atlantic subtropical high, with limited diurnal warming due to urban heat island effects and frequent cloud cover or light precipitation. This measured value fits within the observed range for early winter conditions without requiring anomalous synoptic patterns. New data releases or station revisions remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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