Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 97.2%
22°C 2.3%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
$140,945 交易量
$140,945 交易量
2026-05-16
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
97%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 97.2%
22°C 2.3%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
$140,945 交易量
$140,945 交易量
2026-05-16
18°C
$18,715 交易量
<1%
19°C
$12,059 交易量
<1%
20°C
$34,495 交易量
<1%
21°C
$9,707 交易量
97%
22°C
$7,621 交易量
2%
23°C
$7,968 交易量
<1%
24°C
$7,215 交易量
<1%
25°C
$9,320 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$10,403 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$140,945结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$140,945结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题