Incumbent Sharice Davids anchors Democratic advantages in Kansas’s Third Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and historical margins that have held in the low double digits. Davids’ consistent reelection record, combined with early 2026 fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 in the first quarter, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. On the Republican side, the August 4 primary features lesser-known candidates such as Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, offering limited immediate threat to the status quo. These structural and candidate factors explain the current 88.5 percent implied probability assigned to a Democratic victory by market participants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,298 交易量
$12,298 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
89%
共和党
13%
$12,298 交易量
$12,298 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,893 交易量
89%
共和党
$9,406 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids anchors Democratic advantages in Kansas’s Third Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and historical margins that have held in the low double digits. Davids’ consistent reelection record, combined with early 2026 fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 in the first quarter, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. On the Republican side, the August 4 primary features lesser-known candidates such as Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, offering limited immediate threat to the status quo. These structural and candidate factors explain the current 88.5 percent implied probability assigned to a Democratic victory by market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,298结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids anchors Democratic advantages in Kansas’s Third Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and historical margins that have held in the low double digits. Davids’ consistent reelection record, combined with early 2026 fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 in the first quarter, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. On the Republican side, the August 4 primary features lesser-known candidates such as Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, offering limited immediate threat to the status quo. These structural and candidate factors explain the current 88.5 percent implied probability assigned to a Democratic victory by market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,298结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sharice Davids anchors Democratic advantages in Kansas’s Third Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and historical margins that have held in the low double digits. Davids’ consistent reelection record, combined with early 2026 fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 in the first quarter, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. On the Republican side, the August 4 primary features lesser-known candidates such as Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, offering limited immediate threat to the status quo. These structural and candidate factors explain the current 88.5 percent implied probability assigned to a Democratic victory by market participants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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