Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 14 will settle near 20°C amid the early Meiyu plum rain period. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity suppress radiative cooling, while light winds and no significant cold advection prevent sharper drops. This aligns with climatological baselines showing typical June minima of 20–22°C and current ensemble runs projecting a mild night following daytime highs of 23–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 20°C reflects these converging data, though rare late-model shifts toward clearer skies or revised observations could still nudge the official minimum slightly lower or higher before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日上海最低气温?
20°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$59,743 交易量
$59,743 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
20°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$59,743 交易量
$59,743 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 14 will settle near 20°C amid the early Meiyu plum rain period. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity suppress radiative cooling, while light winds and no significant cold advection prevent sharper drops. This aligns with climatological baselines showing typical June minima of 20–22°C and current ensemble runs projecting a mild night following daytime highs of 23–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 20°C reflects these converging data, though rare late-model shifts toward clearer skies or revised observations could still nudge the official minimum slightly lower or higher before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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