Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent heavy margins in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after he narrowly defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Taras Nykoriak on November 3. With the district anchored in portions of Detroit and surrounding Wayne County suburbs, partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure sustain the wide gap in trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, turnout collapse, or third-party surge could theoretically narrow the outcome, though historical base rates in comparable safe seats indicate such shifts remain rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,878 交易量
$48,878 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
1%
$48,878 交易量
$48,878 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$28,910 交易量
97%
共和党
$19,968 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent heavy margins in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after he narrowly defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Taras Nykoriak on November 3. With the district anchored in portions of Detroit and surrounding Wayne County suburbs, partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure sustain the wide gap in trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, turnout collapse, or third-party surge could theoretically narrow the outcome, though historical base rates in comparable safe seats indicate such shifts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$48,878结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent heavy margins in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after he narrowly defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Taras Nykoriak on November 3. With the district anchored in portions of Detroit and surrounding Wayne County suburbs, partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure sustain the wide gap in trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, turnout collapse, or third-party surge could theoretically narrow the outcome, though historical base rates in comparable safe seats indicate such shifts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,878结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent heavy margins in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after he narrowly defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Taras Nykoriak on November 3. With the district anchored in portions of Detroit and surrounding Wayne County suburbs, partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure sustain the wide gap in trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, turnout collapse, or third-party surge could theoretically narrow the outcome, though historical base rates in comparable safe seats indicate such shifts remain rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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