**Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 71% because recent polling consistently places his Parti Québécois ahead of other parties ahead of the October 3, 2026, Quebec election.** Multiple August surveys show the PQ at roughly 30% support, strongest among francophone voters, positioning it to form the next government and install its leader as premier. Charles Milliard, leader of the Quebec Liberal Party, sits at 16% amid a competitive but trailing position in the three-way race. Christine Fréchette, who succeeded François Legault as CAQ leader earlier in 2026, holds 13% after an initial polling bump faded, leaving the party further back. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels with no evident momentum. Traders are pricing in the PQ’s sustained advantage and the low probability of a late reversal before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东 71%
查尔斯·米利亚尔 16%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特 13.3%
索尔·扎内蒂 <1%
$246,582 交易量
$246,582 交易量
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东
71%
查尔斯·米利亚尔
16%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特
13%
索尔·扎内蒂
<1%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔
<1%
埃里克·迪尤艾姆
<1%
鲁巴·加扎尔
<1%
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东 71%
查尔斯·米利亚尔 16%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特 13.3%
索尔·扎内蒂 <1%
$246,582 交易量
$246,582 交易量
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东
71%
查尔斯·米利亚尔
16%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特
13%
索尔·扎内蒂
<1%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔
<1%
埃里克·迪尤艾姆
<1%
鲁巴·加扎尔
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 71% because recent polling consistently places his Parti Québécois ahead of other parties ahead of the October 3, 2026, Quebec election.** Multiple August surveys show the PQ at roughly 30% support, strongest among francophone voters, positioning it to form the next government and install its leader as premier. Charles Milliard, leader of the Quebec Liberal Party, sits at 16% amid a competitive but trailing position in the three-way race. Christine Fréchette, who succeeded François Legault as CAQ leader earlier in 2026, holds 13% after an initial polling bump faded, leaving the party further back. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels with no evident momentum. Traders are pricing in the PQ’s sustained advantage and the low probability of a late reversal before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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