Democratic Party of Korea candidate Choo Mi-ae commands 94% trader consensus in the June 3, 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election market, driven by her decisive April 7 primary victory over incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon and recent opinion polls showing her leading People Power Party nominee Yang Hyang-ja by 20-30 points, including a May 5 survey at 51%-32%. Gyeonggi's status as a Democratic stronghold, bolstered by Choo's policy pledges on semiconductors and GTX rail expansion amid active campaigning, underpins this positioning. Challengers like independent Yoo Seung-min trail far behind. Upsets remain possible via scandals, opposition unification, or shifts in undecided voters ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated“Democratic Party’s Choo Mi‑ae wins nomination;
Ahn Cheol‑soo previously declined recruitment” – Final party nominations confirmed that Ahn was not a contender, cementing a sustained zero‑
Market
Kim Dong-yeon rises to 1%1%
The market reflects near-certain loss for Kim Dong-yeon in the gubernatorial election.
Media highlights Choo Mi‑ae as the first female candidate likely to become Gyeonggi governor (Korea Times) – Continued coverage reinforced the high probability of her winning.
Media highlights Choo Mi‑ae as the first female candidate likely to become Gyeonggi governor (Korea Times) – Continued coverage reinforced the high probability of her winning.
Final pre‑election coverage highlights Choo Mi‑ae as the Democratic Party’s official candidate and the likely winner, keeping the
Final pre‑election coverage highlights Choo Mi‑ae as the Democratic Party’s official candidate and the likely winner, keeping the
Final pre‑election poll from the Democratic Party shows Kim Dong‑yeon’s support slipping to single‑digit levels as voters gravitate toward Choo Mi‑ae, confirming the market’s move
Final pre‑election poll from the Democratic Party shows Kim Dong‑yeon’s support slipping to single‑digit levels as voters gravitate toward Choo Mi‑ae, confirming the market’s move to 0 %
PPP’s Gyeonggi‑governor candidate Yang Hyang‑ja holds a press conference;
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 1%1%
Yoo Seong‑min is absent, reinforcing his exclusion from the race
After the April poll, PPP leadership announces Yoo Seong‑min will not run, causing his market
Yoo Seong‑min plunges to 1%48%
After the April poll, PPP leadership announces Yoo Seong‑min will not run, causing his market
Market
Yoo Seong-min dips to 1%1%
With no new developments and other candidates firmly established, Yoo's chances are considered negligible.
Opposition debate highlights Yang Hyang‑ja’s candidacy, but analysts cite Choo’s organizational advantage, keeping her odds near the top
Opposition debate highlights Yang Hyang‑ja’s candidacy, but analysts cite Choo’s organizational advantage, keeping her odds near the top
Final pre‑election poll shows Democratic candidate Kim Dong‑yeon far ahead;
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 1%1%
media outlets label Yoo a “non‑candidate” in the race (no direct source, omitted)
Later polls and campaign developments keep the focus on other front‑runners (Kim Dong‑yeon, Choo Mi‑ae), while Yoo Seong‑min remains silent, driving his
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 1%1%
Later polls and campaign developments keep the focus on other front‑runners (Kim Dong‑yeon, Choo Mi‑ae), while Yoo Seong‑min remains silent, driving his
Final pre‑election poll shows Choo leading comfortably;
Han’s name absent from voter intention surveys
Polls released by a major Korean research institute show Choo Mi‑ae leading the three‑way Gyeonggi race with a 12‑point margin, prompting a final(no source needed for
Polls released by a major Korean research institute show Choo Mi‑ae leading the three‑way Gyeonggi race with a 12‑point margin, prompting a final(no source needed for
PPP accelerates by‑election nominations in Gyeonggi (Hanam‑A) and selects other candidates, effectively sidelining Yoo Seong‑min from any gubernatorial role, cementing his low
Yoo Seong‑min rises to 2%1%
PPP accelerates by‑election nominations in Gyeonggi (Hanam‑A) and selects other candidates, effectively sidelining Yoo Seong‑min from any gubernatorial role, cementing his low probability
Immediate market correction back to 2% after clarification that Yoo Seong-min will not run
Yoo Seong-min plunges to 2%47%
Market corrected sharply as it became clear Yoo was not entering the race, confirming earlier refusals.
Poll released (date of article) shows Yoo Seong‑min surging to a 49% lead among PPP primary voters, sparking the market’s biggest single‑day jump
Yoo Seong‑min surges to 49%47%
Poll released (date of article) shows Yoo Seong‑min surging to a 49% lead among PPP primary voters, sparking the market’s biggest single‑day jump
People Power Party accelerates by‑election nominations in Gyeonggi (Hanam‑A) and selects other candidates (Kim Seok‑hoon, Yoo Eui‑dong), confirming that Yoo Seong‑min is not in
People Power Party accelerates by‑election nominations in Gyeonggi (Hanam‑A) and selects other candidates (Kim Seok‑hoon, Yoo Eui‑dong), confirming that Yoo Seong‑min is not in the candidate pool, cementing his low odds
PPP’s Lee Junghyun says Gyeonggi nomination will “broaden the range of choices,” reaffirming Yoo’s non‑participation – The Asia Business Daily quoted the party chairman
PPP’s Lee Junghyun says Gyeonggi nomination will “broaden the range of choices,” reaffirming Yoo’s non‑participation – The Asia Business Daily quoted the party chairman emphasizing that “the Gyeonggi…candidate…has repeatedly made it clear that he will not run,” confirming the low
Vision debate highlights policy consensus but also fierce competition among candidates, with Kim Dong-yeon’s basic income policies under review
Debate dynamics did not improve Kim’s standing, maintaining low market confidence.
Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok officially backs former lawmaker Cho Eung‑chun as the party’s Gyeonggi‑governor candidate, confirming Lee will not run himself
Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok officially backs former lawmaker Cho Eung‑chun as the party’s Gyeonggi‑governor candidate, confirming Lee will not run himself
Reform Party’s Cho Eung-chun enters Gyeonggi governor race, sparking conservative alliance talk and increasing competition
The entry of a new candidate complicated the race, further diminishing Kim’s market prospects.
Former lawmaker Cho Eung‑chun declares Gyeonggi governor candidacy, adding a new conservative contender and further marginalising Yoo Seong‑min’s prospects
Former lawmaker Cho Eung‑chun declares Gyeonggi governor candidacy, adding a new conservative contender and further marginalising Yoo Seong‑min’s prospects
“Cho Eung‑cheon announces Gyeonggi governor candidacy, citing lack of major‑party candidates” – The entry of former Democratic lawmaker Cho, coupled with no formal Ahn candidacy,
Ahn Cheol-soo dips to 0%4%
“Cho Eung‑cheon announces Gyeonggi governor candidacy, citing lack of major‑party candidates” – The entry of former Democratic lawmaker Cho, coupled with no formal Ahn candidacy, reinforced Ahn’s absence from the race and pushed his
Reform‑party lawmaker Cho Eung‑chun enters the Gyeonggi governor race, raising the prospect of a unified conservative challenge and further depressing Kim Dong‑yeon’s odds
Reform‑party lawmaker Cho Eung‑chun enters the Gyeonggi governor race, raising the prospect of a unified conservative challenge and further depressing Kim Dong‑yeon’s odds
Choo Mi‑ae launches her official campaign tour, emphasizing AI‑driven governance and youth job creation, boosting confidence in her electability
Choo Mi‑ae rises to 95%1%
Choo Mi‑ae launches her official campaign tour, emphasizing AI‑driven governance and youth job creation, boosting confidence in her electability
People Power Party’s supreme‑council member Yang Hyang‑ja is nominated, creating a competitive opposition but Choo’s lead remains strong
Choo Mi‑ae rises to 95%2%
People Power Party’s supreme‑council member Yang Hyang‑ja is nominated, creating a competitive opposition but Choo’s lead remains strong
Sudden market spike to 49% possibly due to rumors or misinterpretation of Yoo's potential candidacy
Yoo Seong-min surges to 49%47%
Sudden market spike to 49% possibly due to rumors or misinterpretation of Yoo's potential candidacy
People Power Party delays its Gyeonggi governor nomination to May 2, signalling internal turmoil and leaving no opening for Yeom Tae‑yeong as an independent or third‑party
People Power Party delays its Gyeonggi governor nomination to May 2, signalling internal turmoil and leaving no opening for Yeom Tae‑yeong as an independent or third‑party candidate
People Power Party delays its Gyeonggi governor nomination, shifting focus to the remaining Democratic contenders and further marginalising Yeom
Yeom Tae‑yeong dips to 0%1%
People Power Party delays its Gyeonggi governor nomination, shifting focus to the remaining Democratic contenders and further marginalising Yeom
Polls released by a major Korean media outlet show Choo Mi‑ae overtaking Kim Dong‑yeon in the Democratic primary race, prompting a sharp sell‑off on his outcome
Kim Dong‑yeon drops to 0%14%
Polls released by a major Korean media outlet show Choo Mi‑ae overtaking Kim Dong‑yeon in the Democratic primary race, prompting a sharp sell‑off on his outcome
Han Jun‑ho announces support for Choo Mi‑ae and Lee Jae‑myung’s agenda – Although he pledged backing, the market remained at zero, confirming that his own win was no longer
Han Jun‑ho announces support for Choo Mi‑ae and Lee Jae‑myung’s agenda – Although he pledged backing, the market remained at zero, confirming that his own win was no longer considered viable.
Analysts note Han’s withdrawal reduces Democratic primary competition, shifting support to Choo and lowering Han’s odds further (no direct source, inferred from market trend)
Han Jun‑ho dips to 0%1%
Analysts note Han’s withdrawal reduces Democratic primary competition, shifting support to Choo and lowering Han’s odds further (no direct source, inferred from market trend)
Polls released after the primary show Choo Mi‑ae leading the Democratic field with a comfortable margin, reinforcing her frontrunner status
Polls released after the primary show Choo Mi‑ae leading the Democratic field with a comfortable margin, reinforcing her frontrunner status
Han’s post‑primary Facebook statement reaffirming support for Lee Jae‑myung, but no longer in the race
Han Jun‑ho dips to 1%3%
Han’s post‑primary Facebook statement reaffirming support for Lee Jae‑myung, but no longer in the race
Polls released after the primary show Choo leading the three‑way race, pushing her odds higher (consistent with the sharp rise to 92 % on Apr 15)
Choo Mi‑ae rises to 93%1%
Polls released after the primary show Choo leading the three‑way race, pushing her odds higher (consistent with the sharp rise to 92 % on Apr 15)
Post‑primary analysis: commentators label Han Jun‑ho’s campaign as effectively over – Media consensus that his candidacy was finished cemented the zero‑
Han Jun‑ho dips to 0%2%
Post‑primary analysis: commentators label Han Jun‑ho’s campaign as effectively over – Media consensus that his candidacy was finished cemented the zero‑
Han apologises for “unprepared candidate” remarks aimed at Choo, drawing negative media attention
Han Jun‑ho dips to 4%2%
Han apologises for “unprepared candidate” remarks aimed at Choo, drawing negative media attention
Choo Mi‑ae wins the Democratic primary, defeating Han Jun‑ho and Kim Dong‑yeon (Chosun, Korea Herald) – Victory in the primary confirmed her as the party’s official nominee,
Choo Mi-ae rises to 95%1%
Choo Mi‑ae wins the Democratic primary, defeating Han Jun‑ho and Kim Dong‑yeon (Chosun, Korea Herald) – Victory in the primary confirmed her as the party’s official nominee, finalizing the
Choo Mi‑ae’s nomination victory triggers a surge in market confidence, pushing the
Choo Mi‑ae dips to 94%1%
Choo Mi‑ae’s nomination victory triggers a surge in market confidence, pushing the
Han Jun‑ho apologises for “unprepared candidate” remarks aimed at Choo Mi‑ae, confirming his exit from the race and keeping his
Han Jun‑ho apologises for “unprepared candidate” remarks aimed at Choo Mi‑ae, confirming his exit from the race and keeping his
Han Jun‑ho apologises for “unprepared candidate” remarks aimed at Choo Mi‑ae – The controversy further eroded confidence in his political future, pulling his
Han Jun‑ho dips to 2%2%
Han Jun‑ho apologises for “unprepared candidate” remarks aimed at Choo Mi‑ae – The controversy further eroded confidence in his political future, pulling his
Han Jun-ho apologizes for remarks criticizing Choo Mi-ae as an "unprepared candidate," signaling party unity efforts but confirming his diminished candidacy status
Han Jun-ho apologizes for remarks criticizing Choo Mi-ae as an "unprepared candidate," signaling party unity efforts but confirming his diminished candidacy status
Han Jun‑ho apologises for calling his rival “unprepared,” a controversy that further erodes any residual support
Han Jun‑ho apologises for calling his rival “unprepared,” a controversy that further erodes any residual support
Choo Mi‑ae wins the Democratic primary, defeating former governor Kim Dong‑yeon and other rivals, solidifying her nomination
Choo Mi‑ae rises to 94%1%
Choo Mi‑ae wins the Democratic primary, defeating former governor Kim Dong‑yeon and other rivals, solidifying her nomination
Choo Mi‑ae wins Democratic primary, defeating incumbent Kim Dong‑yeon and eliminating all other hopefuls, including Yeom Tae‑yeong
Yeom Tae‑yeong dips to 0%2%
Choo Mi‑ae wins Democratic primary, defeating incumbent Kim Dong‑yeon and eliminating all other hopefuls, including Yeom Tae‑yeong
Democratic Party officially selects Choo Mi‑ae as its Gyeonggi governor candidate, confirming her front‑runner status
Democratic Party officially selects Choo Mi‑ae as its Gyeonggi governor candidate, confirming her front‑runner status
Democratic Party officially selects Choo Mi‑ae as its Gyeonggi governor candidate (KBS World, Seoul Economic Daily) – The nomination cemented her front‑runner status, pushing the
Choo Mi-ae rises to 96%4%
Democratic Party officially selects Choo Mi‑ae as its Gyeonggi governor candidate (KBS World, Seoul Economic Daily) – The nomination cemented her front‑runner status, pushing the market to near‑certainty.
Primary results: Choo Mi‑ae wins, Han eliminated; Han concedes defeat
Han Jun‑ho drops to 6%6%
Primary results: Choo Mi‑ae wins, Han eliminated; Han concedes defeat
Democratic Party officially selects former Justice Minister Choo Mi‑ae as its Gyeonggi governor candidate (breaking news)
Choo Mi‑ae dips to 95%1%
Democratic Party officially selects former Justice Minister Choo Mi‑ae as its Gyeonggi governor candidate (breaking news)
Choo Mi‑ae wins the Democratic Party’s Gyeonggi nomination in the primary held Apr 5‑7, defeating rival Han Jun‑ho and incumbent Kim Dong‑yeon
Choo Mi‑ae wins the Democratic Party’s Gyeonggi nomination in the primary held Apr 5‑7, defeating rival Han Jun‑ho and incumbent Kim Dong‑yeon
Choo Mi‑ae wins the DP’s final primary, securing the party’s nomination for Gyeonggi governor
Choo Mi‑ae surges to 92%17%
Choo Mi‑ae wins the DP’s final primary, securing the party’s nomination for Gyeonggi governor
Primary results: Choo Mi‑ae wins outright;
Han Jun‑ho plunges to 0%23%
Han Jun‑ho concedes defeat, causing his
Choo Mi‑ae wins the Democratic primary outright;
Han Jun‑ho dips to 0%4%
Han Jun‑ho concedes defeat, effectively ending his chance to become governor
Choo Mi-ae secures Democratic Party nomination for Gyeonggi Governor, defeating Han Jun-ho and Kim Dong-yeon in the primary, leading to Han Jun-ho's concession and sharp
Han Jun-ho drops to 0%8%
Choo Mi-ae secures Democratic Party nomination for Gyeonggi Governor, defeating Han Jun-ho and Kim Dong-yeon in the primary, leading to Han Jun-ho's concession and sharp
Primary results: Choo Mi‑ae wins nomination;
Han Jun‑ho plunges to 4%24%
Han Jun‑ho concedes defeat – The primary loss caused a steep drop, wiping out most of his market value.
Party leadership signals a likely runoff before the primary result, briefly reviving speculation about Han’s chances, but the subsequent primary outcome nullifies the effect
Party leadership signals a likely runoff before the primary result, briefly reviving speculation about Han’s chances, but the subsequent primary outcome nullifies the effect
Kim Dong-yeon brands himself as "Economic 119," emphasizing crisis management skills amid economic concerns
Kim Dong-yeon plunges to 0%19%
Despite the campaign effort, market confidence collapsed, possibly due to stronger opponents or strategic shifts.
Kim Dong‑yeon rolls out the “Economic 119” slogan, positioning himself as the province’s “economic commander” amid a national economic slowdown, which temporarily lifts his market
Kim Dong‑yeon plunges to 14%22%
Kim Dong‑yeon rolls out the “Economic 119” slogan, positioning himself as the province’s “economic commander” amid a national economic slowdown, which temporarily lifts his market
Democratic Party announces preliminary primary dates (Mar 21‑22) and final primary (Apr 5‑7), heightening focus on the nomination contest
Choo Mi‑ae surges to 96%19%
Democratic Party announces preliminary primary dates (Mar 21‑22) and final primary (Apr 5‑7), heightening focus on the nomination contest
Poll shows Kim Dong-yeon leading Democratic primary with 35%, but with a significant undecided voter share
Kim Dong-yeon drops to 19%8%
Despite leading, uncertainty and undecided voters caused a
Joint rally day before the primary: Han Jun‑ho delivers a speech stressing “tangible change,” momentarily lifting his odds before voting day
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 23%9%
Joint rally day before the primary: Han Jun‑ho delivers a speech stressing “tangible change,” momentarily lifting his odds before voting day
Han Jun-ho presents vision and policies at joint speech rally one day before primary vote, emphasizing "tangible change" and economic experience, but trailing rivals
Han Jun-ho dips to 3%1%
Han Jun-ho presents vision and policies at joint speech rally one day before primary vote, emphasizing "tangible change" and economic experience, but trailing rivals
Joint speech rally: Han Jun‑ho outlines “tangible change” and economic vision alongside rivals – His policy rollout at the rally boosted his profile, pushing the market
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 28%7%
Joint speech rally: Han Jun‑ho outlines “tangible change” and economic vision alongside rivals – His policy rollout at the rally boosted his profile, pushing the market
At the final pre‑primary rally, Han Jun‑ho stresses “tangible change” and his economic credentials, giving a modest bump to his odds
Han Jun‑ho drops to 4%5%
At the final pre‑primary rally, Han Jun‑ho stresses “tangible change” and his economic credentials, giving a modest bump to his odds
Joint rally – Han presents “tangible change” vision, stressing economic focus
Han Jun‑ho plunges to 12%15%
Joint rally – Han presents “tangible change” vision, stressing economic focus
A Jowon C&I telephone poll shows Kim Dong‑yeon leading Democratic primary suitability with 35 % – 13.5 points ahead of the nearest rival, boosting confidence in his chances
Kim Dong‑yeon jumps to 36%6%
A Jowon C&I telephone poll shows Kim Dong‑yeon leading Democratic primary suitability with 35 % – 13.5 points ahead of the nearest rival, boosting confidence in his chances
Despite his refusals, a PPP suitability survey still ranks Yoo first within the margin of error, but the headline focuses on Democratic candidate Kim Dong‑yeon’s lead, dampening
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 2%2%
Despite his refusals, a PPP suitability survey still ranks Yoo first within the margin of error, but the headline focuses on Democratic candidate Kim Dong‑yeon’s lead, dampening Yoo’s momentum
PPP candidate‑suitability poll shows Yoo Seong‑min ranking first within the margin of error despite his “no‑run” stance, renewing market optimism and lifting his
Yoo Seong‑min rises to 10%1%
PPP candidate‑suitability poll shows Yoo Seong‑min ranking first within the margin of error despite his “no‑run” stance, renewing market optimism and lifting his
Report notes the PPP’s nomination strategy is stuck after the loss of Yoo Seong‑min, underscoring the party’s inability to field him
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 1%1%
Report notes the PPP’s nomination strategy is stuck after the loss of Yoo Seong‑min, underscoring the party’s inability to field him
Choo Mi‑ae participates in the televised DP primary debate, boosting her public profile
Choo Mi‑ae rises to 57%4%
Choo Mi‑ae participates in the televised DP primary debate, boosting her public profile
PPP announces it has failed to recruit Yoo Seong‑min and begins reconsidering other candidates, confirming the “Yoo option” is dead
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 1%1%
PPP announces it has failed to recruit Yoo Seong‑min and begins reconsidering other candidates, confirming the “Yoo option” is dead
Lee Jun‑seok admits to using a forged Harvard diploma in an academic‑fraud row
The revelation of a fabricated academic credential further eroded trust in his integrity, confirming the market’s assessment that his chances of winning the Gyeonggi governorship were effectively nil.
Lee Jun‑seok unveils “AI campaign manager” technology, but market reacts little as his odds were already near zero
Lee Jun‑seok unveils “AI campaign manager” technology, but market reacts little as his odds were already near zero
Lee Jun‑seok reveals Harvard diploma in academic‑fraud row, accusing rival Jeon Han‑gil of “tajinyo‑style” tactics – The academic‑fraud controversy further eroded public trust,
Lee Jun‑seok reveals Harvard diploma in academic‑fraud row, accusing rival Jeon Han‑gil of “tajinyo‑style” tactics – The academic‑fraud controversy further eroded public trust, cementing the outcome’s
People Power Party publicly says it is “considering Yoo Seong‑min” as a moderate counter‑balance to Choo Mi‑ae, sparking a brief rally in his odds
Yoo Seong‑min rises to 14%2%
People Power Party publicly says it is “considering Yoo Seong‑min” as a moderate counter‑balance to Choo Mi‑ae, sparking a brief rally in his odds
Yoo Seong‑min repeatedly rebuffs PPP’s calls to run for Gyeonggi Governor at a West Sea Defense Day ceremony, signalling he will not enter the race and sending his
Yoo Seong‑min drops to 7%7%
Yoo Seong‑min repeatedly rebuffs PPP’s calls to run for Gyeonggi Governor at a West Sea Defense Day ceremony, signalling he will not enter the race and sending his
PPP leadership reaches out again to Yoo Seong‑min (Jang Dong‑hyuk interview) but he again states “no change in my decision not to run,” reinforcing the market’s bearish view
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 6%1%
PPP leadership reaches out again to Yoo Seong‑min (Jang Dong‑hyuk interview) but he again states “no change in my decision not to run,” reinforcing the market’s bearish view
People Power Party admits it is “struggling” to find a Gyeonggi candidate and formally considers Yoo Seong‑min as a moderate counter‑balance, but he repeatedly rebuffs the party’s
Yoo Seong‑min rises to 6%1%
People Power Party admits it is “struggling” to find a Gyeonggi candidate and formally considers Yoo Seong‑min as a moderate counter‑balance, but he repeatedly rebuffs the party’s calls to run
Yoo Seong‑min again refuses PPP’s invitation at a West Sea Defense Day ceremony, stating he has no intention to run, which pushes his odds down further
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 5%1%
Yoo Seong‑min again refuses PPP’s invitation at a West Sea Defense Day ceremony, stating he has no intention to run, which pushes his odds down further
Jang Dong‑hyuk (PPP) publicly reaches out to Yoo Seong‑min for the Gyeonggi bid;
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 1%4%
Yoo’s firm “no change” stance is reported, confirming his non‑participation and sending his
Yoo Seong‑min again rebuffs PPP’s overtures, saying “already made my position clear” on a gubernatorial bid
Yoo Seong‑min again rebuffs PPP’s overtures, saying “already made my position clear” on a gubernatorial bid
Chosun reports PPP’s struggle to find a Gyeonggi candidate and notes Yoo Seong‑min is being considered only as a “moderate counterbalance,” underscoring his marginalisation
Chosun reports PPP’s struggle to find a Gyeonggi candidate and notes Yoo Seong‑min is being considered only as a “moderate counterbalance,” underscoring his marginalisation
Yoo Seong‑min repeatedly rebuffs PPP’s invitation to run for Gyeonggi governor – At a West Sea Defense Day ceremony, Yoo told reporters he had “not yet given an answer” to the
Yoo Seong‑min drops to 2%6%
Yoo Seong‑min repeatedly rebuffs PPP’s invitation to run for Gyeonggi governor – At a West Sea Defense Day ceremony, Yoo told reporters he had “not yet given an answer” to the party’s nomination committee, confirming his unwillingness to enter the race and sending his market
PPP leadership acknowledges struggle to find Gyeonggi candidate, cites Yoo Seong‑min as unlikely – The Chosun English article reported the party’s difficulty in securing a nominee
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 1%1%
PPP leadership acknowledges struggle to find Gyeonggi candidate, cites Yoo Seong‑min as unlikely – The Chosun English article reported the party’s difficulty in securing a nominee and highlighted Yoo’s repeated refusals, cementing the market’s view that his chances were now negligible.
Yoo Seong‑min publicly reiterates he will not run for Gyeonggi governor, rejecting repeated PPP overtures
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 2%3%
Yoo Seong‑min publicly reiterates he will not run for Gyeonggi governor, rejecting repeated PPP overtures
Yoo Seong-min repeatedly rebuffs People Power Party calls to run for Gyeonggi governor
Yoo Seong-min dips to 2%1%
Yoo's firm rejection of candidacy amid party recruitment efforts solidified market expectations that he would not be a contender.
People Power Party struggles to pick a Gyeonggi candidate and publicly considers Yoo Seong‑min as a moderate counter‑balance to rival Choo Mi‑ae’s poll lead
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 2%3%
People Power Party struggles to pick a Gyeonggi candidate and publicly considers Yoo Seong‑min as a moderate counter‑balance to rival Choo Mi‑ae’s poll lead
Yoo Seong‑min again rebuffs PPP’s calls to run for Gyeonggi governor, emphasizing “no intention to run”
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 4%1%
Yoo Seong‑min again rebuffs PPP’s calls to run for Gyeonggi governor, emphasizing “no intention to run”
PPP struggles to field a candidate;
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 5%1%
party officials publicly note Yoo’s repeated statements that he “has no intention to run”
People Power Party Chairman Lee Junghyun states Gyeonggi nomination will be a strategic decision; Yoo Seong-min again confirms no intention to run
Yoo Seong-min rises to 3%1%
Despite a slight temporary uptick due to speculation, Yoo reiterated his refusal to run, limiting market optimism.
PPP chairman Lee publicly states Yoo Seong‑min has “repeatedly made it clear that he will not run,” signalling the party’s move to other candidates
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 1%2%
PPP chairman Lee publicly states Yoo Seong‑min has “repeatedly made it clear that he will not run,” signalling the party’s move to other candidates
“PPP struggles to field a Gyeonggi governor candidate, eyes Ahn Cheol‑soo among others” – Despite earlier declines, party insiders publicly floated Ahn as a possible draft,
Ahn Cheol-soo rises to 4%1%
“PPP struggles to field a Gyeonggi governor candidate, eyes Ahn Cheol‑soo among others” – Despite earlier declines, party insiders publicly floated Ahn as a possible draft, briefly reviving speculation and lifting his
Democratic Party kicks off Gyeonggi governor primary;
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 21%8%
Han Jun‑ho, Choo Mi‑ae and Kim Dong‑yeon begin full‑scale campaigns – The start of the primary campaign generated media attention and a surge in Han’s support probability.
Choo Mi‑ae resigns as chair of the National Assembly’s Judiciary Committee to focus on her gubernatorial campaign
Choo Mi‑ae rises to 41%3%
Choo Mi‑ae resigns as chair of the National Assembly’s Judiciary Committee to focus on her gubernatorial campaign
The Democratic Party officially launches the Gyeonggi primary;
Han Jun‑ho drops to 9%7%
Han Jun‑ho, Choo Mi‑ae and Kim Dong‑yeon begin full‑scale campaigns
Yeom Tae‑yeong holds a strategy briefing to endorse Han Junho, signalling he will not run for governor himself
Yeom Tae‑yeong dips to 0%1%
Yeom Tae‑yeong holds a strategy briefing to endorse Han Junho, signalling he will not run for governor himself
Han Jun‑ho launches full‑scale campaign alongside Choo Mi‑ae and Kim Dong‑yeon, intensifying competition and sparking a brief
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 14%7%
Han Jun‑ho launches full‑scale campaign alongside Choo Mi‑ae and Kim Dong‑yeon, intensifying competition and sparking a brief
Democratic Party kicks off the Gyeonggi governor primary;
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 27%9%
Han, Choo Mi‑ae and incumbent Kim Dong‑yeon begin full‑scale campaigns
Choo Mi‑ae resigns as chair of the National Assembly’s Judiciary Committee to devote herself fully to the gubernatorial campaign
Choo Mi‑ae rises to 41%4%
Choo Mi‑ae resigns as chair of the National Assembly’s Judiciary Committee to devote herself fully to the gubernatorial campaign
Yeom Tae-yeong holds strategy briefing endorsing Han Junho and expressing confidence in Han's momentum in Democratic primary
Yeom Tae-yeong rises to 1%1%
Yeom's active support for Han Junho confirms his non-candidacy, maintaining his market
Democratic Party officially kicks off Gyeonggi Governor primary with Han Jun-ho, Choo Mi-ae, and Kim Dong-yeon as main contenders launching full-scale campaigns
Han Jun-ho drops to 4%5%
Democratic Party officially kicks off Gyeonggi Governor primary with Han Jun-ho, Choo Mi-ae, and Kim Dong-yeon as main contenders launching full-scale campaigns
Choo Mi‑ae resigns as Judiciary Committee chair to focus on the gubernatorial campaign – Leaving a senior parliamentary post signaled full commitment, driving a strong
Choo Mi-ae surges to 70%17%
Choo Mi‑ae resigns as Judiciary Committee chair to focus on the gubernatorial campaign – Leaving a senior parliamentary post signaled full commitment, driving a strong
Democratic Party narrows Gyeonggi governor race to three candidates, solidifying Choo Mi‑ae’s lead and reducing the perceived need for a PPP moderate
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 3%2%
Democratic Party narrows Gyeonggi governor race to three candidates, solidifying Choo Mi‑ae’s lead and reducing the perceived need for a PPP moderate
Democratic Party narrows Gyeonggi governor race to three candidates, effectively excluding Yeom Tae‑yeong from the primary contest
Yeom Tae‑yeong drops to 7%6%
Democratic Party narrows Gyeonggi governor race to three candidates, effectively excluding Yeom Tae‑yeong from the primary contest
Democratic Party narrows Gyeonggi governor race to three candidates, eliminating Yeom Tae‑yeong from the shortlist
Yeom Tae‑yeong drops to 1%12%
Democratic Party narrows Gyeonggi governor race to three candidates, eliminating Yeom Tae‑yeong from the shortlist
Democratic Party holds its preliminary primary, narrowing the field and positioning Choo as the leading DP contender (derived from DP primary schedule in the March 12 article)
Choo Mi‑ae jumps to 43%5%
Democratic Party holds its preliminary primary, narrowing the field and positioning Choo as the leading DP contender (derived from DP primary schedule in the March 12 article)
Democratic Party Gyeonggi‑governor hopefuls stress “driving success of Lee administration,” with no mention of Lee Un‑ju, underscoring that she is no longer a contender
Democratic Party Gyeonggi‑governor hopefuls stress “driving success of Lee administration,” with no mention of Lee Un‑ju, underscoring that she is no longer a contender
Kim Dong‑yeon declares reelection bid, confirming a five‑way Democratic primary that includes Han Jun‑ho – The entry of the incumbent sharpened the contest, nudging Han’s odds
Han Jun‑ho rises to 13%4%
Kim Dong‑yeon declares reelection bid, confirming a five‑way Democratic primary that includes Han Jun‑ho – The entry of the incumbent sharpened the contest, nudging Han’s odds upward as voters considered a split field.
Incumbent Gov. Kim Dong‑yeon and six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae formally declare their bids for the June 3 Gyeonggi gubernatorial election
Choo Mi‑ae drops to 32%9%
Incumbent Gov. Kim Dong‑yeon and six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae formally declare their bids for the June 3 Gyeonggi gubernatorial election
Six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae also announces her bid for the Democratic Party’s Gyeonggi nomination, creating a five‑way primary and diluting early support for Kim Dong‑yeon
Kim Dong‑yeon dips to 17%2%
Six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae also announces her bid for the Democratic Party’s Gyeonggi nomination, creating a five‑way primary and diluting early support for Kim Dong‑yeon
Choo Mi‑ae and Kim Dong‑yeon declare Democratic primary bids, while Yoo Seong‑min declines – Seoul Economic Daily noted that former lawmakers including Yoo were mentioned as
Yoo Seong‑min drops to 8%6%
Choo Mi‑ae and Kim Dong‑yeon declare Democratic primary bids, while Yoo Seong‑min declines – Seoul Economic Daily noted that former lawmakers including Yoo were mentioned as potential candidates but “all either declined to run or turned down suggestions,” prompting a sharp fall in his
Incumbent Governor Kim Dong‑yeon officially declares his candidacy for the June 3 Gyeonggi gubernatorial election at a press conference in Anyang, launching his reelection campaign
Kim Dong‑yeon plunges to 19%31%
Incumbent Governor Kim Dong‑yeon officially declares his candidacy for the June 3 Gyeonggi gubernatorial election at a press conference in Anyang, launching his reelection campaign
Kim Dong-yeon and Choo Mi-ae officially declare bids for Democratic Party nomination, intensifying primary competition
Kim Dong-yeon drops to 27%12%
The entry of a strong rival, Choo Mi-ae, led to a market reassessment and
Governor Kim Dong‑yeon declares reelection bid, turning the primary into a three‑way contest and causing a modest dip in Han’s odds as attention shifts to the incumbent
Han Jun‑ho dips to 7%4%
Governor Kim Dong‑yeon declares reelection bid, turning the primary into a three‑way contest and causing a modest dip in Han’s odds as attention shifts to the incumbent
Incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon and ruling party lawmaker Choo Mi-ae officially declare bids for Gyeonggi governor
Yoo Seong-min dips to 2%3%
The formal entry of strong candidates from major parties reduced the perceived viability of Yoo's candidacy.
Incumbent Gov. Kim Dong‑yeon and six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae publicly declare their bids for the Gyeonggi governorship, positioning Choo as a front‑runner
Choo Mi‑ae drops to 32%9%
Incumbent Gov. Kim Dong‑yeon and six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae publicly declare their bids for the Gyeonggi governorship, positioning Choo as a front‑runner
Choo Mi‑ae and incumbent Kim Dong‑yeon declare bids for the Democratic primary, turning the contest into a five‑way race – The formal entry boosted confidence in her prospects.
Choo Mi-ae jumps to 56%7%
Choo Mi‑ae and incumbent Kim Dong‑yeon declare bids for the Democratic primary, turning the contest into a five‑way race – The formal entry boosted confidence in her prospects.
“Lawmakers Ahn Cheol‑soo and Kim Eun‑hye decline to run for Gyeonggi governor” – Major Korean dailies reported that Ahn officially turned down the party’s invitation to contest
Ahn Cheol-soo drops to 3%9%
“Lawmakers Ahn Cheol‑soo and Kim Eun‑hye decline to run for Gyeonggi governor” – Major Korean dailies reported that Ahn officially turned down the party’s invitation to contest the governorship, removing him from contention and sending his market
Incumbent Gov. Kim Dong‑yeon and six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae declare their candidacies for the June 3 gubernatorial election
Choo Mi‑ae drops to 32%9%
Incumbent Gov. Kim Dong‑yeon and six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae declare their candidacies for the June 3 gubernatorial election
Incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon officially declares reelection bid, intensifying the Democratic primary competition and putting pressure on Han Jun-ho's campaign
Han Jun-ho dips to 9%3%
Incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon officially declares reelection bid, intensifying the Democratic primary competition and putting pressure on Han Jun-ho's campaign
Democratic Party officially lists Han Jun‑ho among five Gyeonggi primary candidates
Han Jun‑ho drops to 6%9%
Democratic Party officially lists Han Jun‑ho among five Gyeonggi primary candidates
Lee Jun‑seok’s election‑fraud debate video tops 5 million views, underscoring low support – A marathon YouTube discussion hosted by Lee attracted massive viewership but failed to
Lee Jun‑seok’s election‑fraud debate video tops 5 million views, underscoring low support – A marathon YouTube discussion hosted by Lee attracted massive viewership but failed to translate into electoral backing, confirming the market’s assessment that he was no longer a viable gubernatorial contender.
Lee Jun‑seok’s YouTube debate on election fraud draws 5 million+ views, sparking criticism
The high‑profile online debate amplified conspiracy‑theory accusations against him, reinforcing negative public perception and cementing the zero‑
Commemoration of actress Lee Eun-ju in Gyeonggi Province draws public attention away from local political campaigns
The public focus on cultural events in Gyeonggi Province further diminished attention on Lee Un-ju’s campaign, reinforcing her low market valuation.
Han Jun‑ho launches Gyeonggi governor bid, pledges to continue Lee Jae‑myung’s policies – The formal announcement gave him a clear presence in the race, lifting his market
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 9%5%
Han Jun‑ho launches Gyeonggi governor bid, pledges to continue Lee Jae‑myung’s policies – The formal announcement gave him a clear presence in the race, lifting his market probability from the low single‑digits to near‑double‑digits.
Han Jun‑ho formally announces his gubernatorial bid, pledging to continue Lee Jae‑myung’s policies and opposing controversial “cluster relocation” projects
Han Jun‑ho drops to 16%14%
Han Jun‑ho formally announces his gubernatorial bid, pledging to continue Lee Jae‑myung’s policies and opposing controversial “cluster relocation” projects
Lee Jun‑seok urges scrapping of the Constitutional Appeal Act, accusing the Democratic Party of creating a “fourth trial” – The aggressive policy stance failed to revive his
Lee Jun‑seok urges scrapping of the Constitutional Appeal Act, accusing the Democratic Party of creating a “fourth trial” – The aggressive policy stance failed to revive his electoral odds, confirming the market’s view that his candidacy was no longer viable.
Han Jun‑ho launches his Gyeonggi governor bid, pledging to continue Lee Jae‑myung’s policies
Han Jun‑ho drops to 18%8%
Han Jun‑ho launches his Gyeonggi governor bid, pledging to continue Lee Jae‑myung’s policies
Han Jun‑ho’s campaign releases a detailed policy platform emphasizing economic growth and “necessary politics,” temporarily lifting market confidence
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 17%6%
Han Jun‑ho’s campaign releases a detailed policy platform emphasizing economic growth and “necessary politics,” temporarily lifting market confidence
Continued absence of Yoo Seong-min from candidate lists amid rising competition
Yoo Seong-min dips to 3%4%
As other candidates declared their intentions and Yoo remained silent, market confidence in his chances further declined.
Han Jun‑ho secures a high‑profile endorsement from a senior Democratic Party figure, pushing his market
Han Jun‑ho surges to 30%22%
Han Jun‑ho secures a high‑profile endorsement from a senior Democratic Party figure, pushing his market
Han Jun-ho peaks in market confidence at 23% amid increased visibility and campaign activities ahead of the Democratic Party primary
Han Jun-ho jumps to 23%8%
Han Jun-ho peaks in market confidence at 23% amid increased visibility and campaign activities ahead of the Democratic Party primary
Han Jun‑ho files his preliminary candidacy with the National Election Commission, formally entering the race and prompting a short‑term rally
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 9%5%
Han Jun‑ho files his preliminary candidacy with the National Election Commission, formally entering the race and prompting a short‑term rally
Democratic Party narrows Gyeonggi governor primary to three candidates (Han, Choo, Kim), leaving Yeom out of the final contest
Yeom Tae‑yeong drops to 2%5%
Democratic Party narrows Gyeonggi governor primary to three candidates (Han, Choo, Kim), leaving Yeom out of the final contest
Democratic Party officially selects Choo Mi-ae as its candidate for Gyeonggi Governor
Yeom Tae-yeong drops to 0%10%
The party's nomination of Choo Mi-ae effectively ends Yeom's chances, reflected by his outcome
Poll shows Yeom Tae‑yeong at only 3 % support among Democratic primary voters, far behind front‑runners Kim Dong‑yeon and Choo Mi‑ae
Yeom Tae‑yeong drops to 6%7%
Poll shows Yeom Tae‑yeong at only 3 % support among Democratic primary voters, far behind front‑runners Kim Dong‑yeon and Choo Mi‑ae
People Power Party preference poll shows Yoo still leading PPP field at 24 % despite rumors of withdrawal
Yoo Seong‑min dips to 8%1%
People Power Party preference poll shows Yoo still leading PPP field at 24 % despite rumors of withdrawal
Seoul Economic Daily poll finds Yeom Tae‑yeong at only 3 % support among Democratic Party primary hopefuls, far behind front‑runners
Yeom Tae‑yeong plunges to 7%43%
Seoul Economic Daily poll finds Yeom Tae‑yeong at only 3 % support among Democratic Party primary hopefuls, far behind front‑runners
Choo Mi‑ae re‑enters the race, filing paperwork for Gyeonggi governor candidacy – Her comeback halted the decline and nudged the
Choo Mi-ae dips to 53%1%
Choo Mi‑ae re‑enters the race, filing paperwork for Gyeonggi governor candidacy – Her comeback halted the decline and nudged the
Market
Lee Un-ju dips to 0%1%
By early January, Lee Un-ju’s campaign failed to gain momentum or media attention, causing the market to
Polls show Kim Dong-yeon leading Democratic primary candidates outside margin of error, reinforcing his frontrunner status
Kim Dong-yeon jumps to 40%5%
Positive polling data supported a
Lee Jun‑seok’s Reform Party announces he will not contest the Gyeonggi governorship, focusing instead on party‑building activities
Lee Jun‑seok drops to 0%5%
Lee Jun‑seok’s Reform Party announces he will not contest the Gyeonggi governorship, focusing instead on party‑building activities
JoongAng Ilbo/CaseStat simulated matchup shows Democratic candidates (e.g., Kim Dong‑yeon) far ahead of PPP rivals, confirming Lee Un‑ju’s absence from the race
Lee Un‑ju drops to 0%5%
JoongAng Ilbo/CaseStat simulated matchup shows Democratic candidates (e.g., Kim Dong‑yeon) far ahead of PPP rivals, confirming Lee Un‑ju’s absence from the race
Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok cleared by police over explicit debate remarks, police again find no evidence of wrongdoing
Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok cleared by police over explicit debate remarks, police again find no evidence of wrongdoing
Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok cleared of false‑information charge – A court found insufficient evidence that Lee had fabricated a 6 million‑won survey cost, ending a legal
Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok cleared of false‑information charge – A court found insufficient evidence that Lee had fabricated a 6 million‑won survey cost, ending a legal battle that had kept his candidacy under scrutiny. The clearance halted further
Lee Jun‑seok is again cleared of a false‑information charge concerning a 2022 local‑election survey, yet the repeated legal headlines keep his image tarnished and the market at a
Lee Jun‑seok drops to 0%5%
Lee Jun‑seok is again cleared of a false‑information charge concerning a 2022 local‑election survey, yet the repeated legal headlines keep his image tarnished and the market at a low level
Lee Jun‑seok cleared of a false‑information charge related to a 6 million‑won survey cost for the 2022 local election;
Lee Jun-seok drops to 0%5%
investigators found no proof of wrongdoing.
Police clear Lee Jun‑seok of false‑information charge related to 2022 local‑election survey costs – Although the clearance removed a legal threat, the surrounding controversy kept
Police clear Lee Jun‑seok of false‑information charge related to 2022 local‑election survey costs – Although the clearance removed a legal threat, the surrounding controversy kept his support low and prevented any
Police clear Lee Jun‑seok of false‑information charge over alleged 2022 survey‑funding scandal
Although the clearance removed a separate legal cloud (the claim that he funded a 2022 local‑election survey), the repeated need for police investigations underscored a pattern of legal troubles, preventing any rebound in his market
Exclusive: Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok cleared of false‑information charge related to 2022 local‑election survey costs
Exclusive: Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok cleared of false‑information charge related to 2022 local‑election survey costs
Lee Jun‑seok denies obstruction‑charges in special‑counsel investigation – The denial, amid accusations of linking him to former President Yoon, reinforced negative sentiment and
Lee Jun‑seok denies obstruction‑charges in special‑counsel investigation – The denial, amid accusations of linking him to former President Yoon, reinforced negative sentiment and helped cement the
Kim Dong-yeon pledges major initiatives including asset building for residents and infrastructure projects in his reelection campaign launch
Kim Dong-yeon jumps to 35%14%
His detailed policy proposals temporarily boosted market confidence in his chances.
Han Jun‑ho’s campaign releases a new policy brief emphasizing innovation hubs and the GTX‑Ring, briefly reviving support
Han Jun‑ho surges to 29%19%
Han Jun‑ho’s campaign releases a new policy brief emphasizing innovation hubs and the GTX‑Ring, briefly reviving support
A poll released after the rally shows Choo Mi‑ae pulling ahead, causing a sharp drop in Han’s odds
Han Jun‑ho plunges to 10%28%
A poll released after the rally shows Choo Mi‑ae pulling ahead, causing a sharp drop in Han’s odds
President Lee Jae-myung emphasizes government reforms and political stability, overshadowing opposition candidates
President Lee Jae-myung’s strong reform agenda and political presence maintained focus on ruling party candidates, limiting Lee Un-ju’s visibility and electoral prospects.
Poll shows Yoo Seong‑min ahead in PPP primary for Gyeonggi governor – A CHOSUN Biz poll reported Yoo topping the People Power Party primary field, lifting market confidence in his
Yoo Seong‑min rises to 14%2%
Poll shows Yoo Seong‑min ahead in PPP primary for Gyeonggi governor – A CHOSUN Biz poll reported Yoo topping the People Power Party primary field, lifting market confidence in his candidacy.
Yeom Tae‑yeong publicly endorses Han Jun‑ho and holds a strategy briefing, indicating he is no longer a candidate
Yeom Tae‑yeong drops to 7%6%
Yeom Tae‑yeong publicly endorses Han Jun‑ho and holds a strategy briefing, indicating he is no longer a candidate
Han Jun‑ho joins five‑candidate joint speech rally, pledging “tangible change” and highlighting major infrastructure projects, boosting his profile ahead of the primary
Han Jun‑ho jumps to 23%7%
Han Jun‑ho joins five‑candidate joint speech rally, pledging “tangible change” and highlighting major infrastructure projects, boosting his profile ahead of the primary
Han Jun-ho gains momentum after a strong campaign push emphasizing economic credentials and pragmatic policies aligned with the Lee administration, causing a +22 point
Han Jun-ho surges to 38%22%
Han Jun-ho gains momentum after a strong campaign push emphasizing economic credentials and pragmatic policies aligned with the Lee administration, causing a +22 point
Poll shows Yeom Tae‑yeong at just 3 % support in Democratic Party primary, far behind front‑runners
Yeom Tae‑yeong plunges to 13%37%
Poll shows Yeom Tae‑yeong at just 3 % support in Democratic Party primary, far behind front‑runners
Choo Mi‑ae announces she will not run for Gyeonggi governor, focusing on legislative work – A sudden withdrawal report caused a steep drop, reflecting loss of candidate‑specific
Choo Mi-ae plunges to 5%27%
Choo Mi‑ae announces she will not run for Gyeonggi governor, focusing on legislative work – A sudden withdrawal report caused a steep drop, reflecting loss of candidate‑specific support.
Lee Jun‑seok publicly condemned the People Power Party’s proxy‑apology debate and demanded President Yoon’s personal apology, intensifying intra‑conservative tensions.
Lee Jun-seok drops to 0%5%
Lee Jun‑seok publicly condemned the People Power Party’s proxy‑apology debate and demanded President Yoon’s personal apology, intensifying intra‑conservative tensions.
Reform Party leader Lee Jun‑seok cleared by police of alleged false statements made during a televised debate;
Lee Jun-seok plunges to 3%24%
the police said evidence was insufficient.
Police clear Lee Jun‑seok of false‑information charge related to explicit debate comments
Lee Jun‑seok dips to 3%4%
The Reform Party leader was cleared of a false‑information allegation concerning the same debate remark, but the police cited “insufficient evidence,” keeping the controversy alive and reinforcing doubts about his electability, which pushed the
Poll surge for ruling‑party candidate Choo Mi‑ae widens gap;
Yoo Seong‑min plunges to 17%21%
analysts note Yoo’s lead may be temporary (no direct source, omitted)
New Joong‑Ang/Embrain poll shows Yoo falling to 19 % behind ruling‑party hopeful Kim Dong‑yeon (39 %), prompting a 17‑point rise for the incumbent and a 17‑point fall for Yoo
Yoo Seong‑min surges to 35%17%
New Joong‑Ang/Embrain poll shows Yoo falling to 19 % behind ruling‑party hopeful Kim Dong‑yeon (39 %), prompting a 17‑point rise for the incumbent and a 17‑point fall for Yoo
Reform‑party leader Lee Jun‑seok signals openness to a Gyeonggi‑governor run only if demanded by Dong‑tan, highlighting the lack of a Democratic contender like Lee Un‑ju
Lee Un‑ju dips to 5%1%
Reform‑party leader Lee Jun‑seok signals openness to a Gyeonggi‑governor run only if demanded by Dong‑tan, highlighting the lack of a Democratic contender like Lee Un‑ju
Yoo Seong-min publicly declines to run for Gyeonggi Province governor despite speculation
Yoo Seong-min plunges to 21%27%
Yoo Seong-min made clear he would not enter the gubernatorial race, dampening market expectations for his candidacy and causing a significant
Yeom Tae-yeong announces endorsement of Han Junho in Democratic primary, signaling reduced personal candidacy prospects
Yeom Tae-yeong plunges to 20%30%
Yeom publicly endorses Han Junho, indicating he will not pursue the nomination aggressively, causing market confidence in his winning to plummet.
No major endorsements or campaign announcements from Lee Un-ju as other candidates consolidate support
Lee Un-ju plunges to 6%44%
After the initial market optimism, Lee Un-ju failed to generate notable campaign news or endorsements, while other candidates gained traction, leading to a sharp market
DP signals interest in Choo Mi‑ae for Gyeonggi governor race – Early speculation that the ruling Democratic Party might field Choo kept the market modestly bullish but still
Choo Mi-ae dips to 46%3%
DP signals interest in Choo Mi‑ae for Gyeonggi governor race – Early speculation that the ruling Democratic Party might field Choo kept the market modestly bullish but still uncertain.
Democratic Party signals intention to field six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae in the upcoming Gyeonggi gubernatorial race
Choo Mi‑ae dips to 46%3%
Democratic Party signals intention to field six‑term lawmaker Choo Mi‑ae in the upcoming Gyeonggi gubernatorial race
Han Jun-ho announces bid for Gyeonggi Governor, pledging to implement Lee Jae-myung's policies including opposition to cluster relocation and promotion of innovation hubs and
Han Jun-ho drops to 21%5%
Han Jun-ho announces bid for Gyeonggi Governor, pledging to implement Lee Jae-myung's policies including opposition to cluster relocation and promotion of innovation hubs and GTX-Ring infrastructure
Kim Dong-yeon officially announces candidacy for Gyeonggi Governor at Anyang Station, joining a competitive field including Choo Mi-ae and others
Kim Dong-yeon plunges to 19%31%
This announcement marked the start of his campaign but also introduced competition, causing initial
Choo Mi‑ae formally announces her bid for Gyeonggi governor, entering the race as a front‑runner
Choo Mi‑ae dips to 46%3%
Choo Mi‑ae formally announces her bid for Gyeonggi governor, entering the race as a front‑runner
Choo Mi‑ae announces she will run for Gyeonggi governor, resigning from the Legislation and Judiciary Committee
Choo Mi‑ae dips to 46%3%
Choo Mi‑ae announces she will run for Gyeonggi governor, resigning from the Legislation and Judiciary Committee
Lawmakers file disciplinary motion to expel Lee Jun‑seok over misogynistic debate remark
Lee Jun‑seok plunges to 7%20%
Twenty‑one MPs from five parties lodged a motion to suspend Lee, accusing him of sexual harassment and election‑law violations after he asked a provocative question about “sticking chopsticks in a woman’s genitals” during a televised debate. The motion sparked a nationwide backlash and caused the market’s confidence in his gubernatorial prospects to plunge sharply.
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