Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows a tight contest among Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the two seats, with August surveys placing the top three within a few points of each other and Alcides Fernandes trailing but still relevant. The fragmented field, split between Lula-aligned and opposition candidates, combined with high undecided shares, sustains even probabilities for second place across multiple contenders. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional survey releases, or last-minute alliances could reorder the standings before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlcides Fernandes 44%
Capitão Wagner 44%
Cid Gomes 44%
Guilherme Theophilo 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Alcides Fernandes
44%
Capitão Wagner
44%
Cid Gomes
44%
Guilherme Theophilo
44%
Lino Alves
44%
Luizianne
44%
Catarina Matos
44%
Reginaldo
44%
Alcides Fernandes 44%
Capitão Wagner 44%
Cid Gomes 44%
Guilherme Theophilo 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Alcides Fernandes
$0 Vol.
44%
Capitão Wagner
$0 Vol.
44%
Cid Gomes
$0 Vol.
44%
Guilherme Theophilo
$0 Vol.
44%
Lino Alves
$0 Vol.
44%
Luizianne
$0 Vol.
44%
Catarina Matos
$0 Vol.
44%
Reginaldo
$0 Vol.
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows a tight contest among Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the two seats, with August surveys placing the top three within a few points of each other and Alcides Fernandes trailing but still relevant. The fragmented field, split between Lula-aligned and opposition candidates, combined with high undecided shares, sustains even probabilities for second place across multiple contenders. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional survey releases, or last-minute alliances could reorder the standings before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows a tight contest among Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the two seats, with August surveys placing the top three within a few points of each other and Alcides Fernandes trailing but still relevant. The fragmented field, split between Lula-aligned and opposition candidates, combined with high undecided shares, sustains even probabilities for second place across multiple contenders. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional survey releases, or last-minute alliances could reorder the standings before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows a tight contest among Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the two seats, with August surveys placing the top three within a few points of each other and Alcides Fernandes trailing but still relevant. The fragmented field, split between Lula-aligned and opposition candidates, combined with high undecided shares, sustains even probabilities for second place across multiple contenders. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional survey releases, or last-minute alliances could reorder the standings before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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