Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 14?
78°F or higher 99.4%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
NEW
$32,093 Vol.
NEW
$32,093 Vol.
May 14, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
99%
78°F or higher 99.4%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
NEW
$32,093 Vol.
NEW
$32,093 Vol.
May 14, 2026
59°F or below
$4,456 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,698 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,039 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,895 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,566 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,769 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,230 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$3,659 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$6,966 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$32,093End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,093End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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