National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project Denver's highest temperature on May 14 reaching near 87°F, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and summerlike warmth well above the mid-May climatological normal of 70°F. This near-unanimous trader consensus—99.5% implied probability for 78°F or higher—stems from the past 24 hours' model runs, where GFS and ECMWF ensembles have trended consistently warmer with only a slight 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Fire Weather Watch highlights the dry, gusty conditions aiding peak heating. Realistic challenges include earlier-than-expected convective outbreaks capping insolation or increased mid-level clouds from upstream moisture, though official guidance deems these low-risk; watch the evening forecast update for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 14?
78°F or higher 99.4%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
NEW
$32,103 Vol.
NEW
$32,103 Vol.
May 14, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
99%
78°F or higher 99.4%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
NEW
$32,103 Vol.
NEW
$32,103 Vol.
May 14, 2026
59°F or below
$4,456 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,698 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,039 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,895 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,566 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,769 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,230 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$3,659 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$6,976 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project Denver's highest temperature on May 14 reaching near 87°F, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and summerlike warmth well above the mid-May climatological normal of 70°F. This near-unanimous trader consensus—99.5% implied probability for 78°F or higher—stems from the past 24 hours' model runs, where GFS and ECMWF ensembles have trended consistently warmer with only a slight 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Fire Weather Watch highlights the dry, gusty conditions aiding peak heating. Realistic challenges include earlier-than-expected convective outbreaks capping insolation or increased mid-level clouds from upstream moisture, though official guidance deems these low-risk; watch the evening forecast update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$32,103End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project Denver's highest temperature on May 14 reaching near 87°F, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and summerlike warmth well above the mid-May climatological normal of 70°F. This near-unanimous trader consensus—99.5% implied probability for 78°F or higher—stems from the past 24 hours' model runs, where GFS and ECMWF ensembles have trended consistently warmer with only a slight 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Fire Weather Watch highlights the dry, gusty conditions aiding peak heating. Realistic challenges include earlier-than-expected convective outbreaks capping insolation or increased mid-level clouds from upstream moisture, though official guidance deems these low-risk; watch the evening forecast update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,103End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project Denver's highest temperature on May 14 reaching near 87°F, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and summerlike warmth well above the mid-May climatological normal of 70°F. This near-unanimous trader consensus—99.5% implied probability for 78°F or higher—stems from the past 24 hours' model runs, where GFS and ECMWF ensembles have trended consistently warmer with only a slight 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Fire Weather Watch highlights the dry, gusty conditions aiding peak heating. Realistic challenges include earlier-than-expected convective outbreaks capping insolation or increased mid-level clouds from upstream moisture, though official guidance deems these low-risk; watch the evening forecast update for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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