Latest observational data from Milan Malpensa Airport—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest 2-meter temperature peaked at 19°C mid-afternoon on May 13, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for this outcome as evening readings drop toward 18°C. This aligns with ARPA Lombardia's bulletin citing persistent cloud cover, northerly winds delivering cooler air masses, and reduced solar insolation capping highs below May's climatological average of 22°C, corroborated by converging ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts. While weather exhibits inherent uncertainty, a shift to 20°C or higher would require improbable late-day clearing and enhanced adiabatic warming before sunset, with final daily summaries from the Italian Meteorological Service expected tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 13?
$50,034 Vol.
$50,034 Vol.
May 13, 2026
19°C
100%
20°C or higher
<1%
$50,034 Vol.
$50,034 Vol.
May 13, 2026
19°C
$14,676 Vol.
100%
20°C or higher
$12,501 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest observational data from Milan Malpensa Airport—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest 2-meter temperature peaked at 19°C mid-afternoon on May 13, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for this outcome as evening readings drop toward 18°C. This aligns with ARPA Lombardia's bulletin citing persistent cloud cover, northerly winds delivering cooler air masses, and reduced solar insolation capping highs below May's climatological average of 22°C, corroborated by converging ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts. While weather exhibits inherent uncertainty, a shift to 20°C or higher would require improbable late-day clearing and enhanced adiabatic warming before sunset, with final daily summaries from the Italian Meteorological Service expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Volume
$50,034End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest observational data from Milan Malpensa Airport—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest 2-meter temperature peaked at 19°C mid-afternoon on May 13, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for this outcome as evening readings drop toward 18°C. This aligns with ARPA Lombardia's bulletin citing persistent cloud cover, northerly winds delivering cooler air masses, and reduced solar insolation capping highs below May's climatological average of 22°C, corroborated by converging ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts. While weather exhibits inherent uncertainty, a shift to 20°C or higher would require improbable late-day clearing and enhanced adiabatic warming before sunset, with final daily summaries from the Italian Meteorological Service expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,034End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest observational data from Milan Malpensa Airport—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest 2-meter temperature peaked at 19°C mid-afternoon on May 13, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for this outcome as evening readings drop toward 18°C. This aligns with ARPA Lombardia's bulletin citing persistent cloud cover, northerly winds delivering cooler air masses, and reduced solar insolation capping highs below May's climatological average of 22°C, corroborated by converging ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts. While weather exhibits inherent uncertainty, a shift to 20°C or higher would require improbable late-day clearing and enhanced adiabatic warming before sunset, with final daily summaries from the Italian Meteorological Service expected tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions