Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 13?
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$29,472 Vol.
$29,472 Vol.
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$29,472 Vol.
$29,472 Vol.
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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