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Politics·Primaries

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 80%

Rachel Creemers 3.4%

Tram Nguyen 3.3%

John Beccia 2.8%

Polymarket

$36,877 Vol.

Dan Koh 80%

Rachel Creemers 3.4%

Tram Nguyen 3.3%

John Beccia 2.8%

Polymarket

$36,877 Vol.

Dan Koh

$4,562 Vol.

80%

Rachel Creemers

$2,182 Vol.

3%

Tram Nguyen

$4,427 Vol.

3%

John Beccia

$1,734 Vol.

3%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,158 Vol.

2%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,896 Vol.

2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,276 Vol.

2%

Kevin Larivee

$1,519 Vol.

2%

Seth Moulton

$1,876 Vol.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,582 Vol.

<1%

Dominick Pangallo

$6,189 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open MA-06 Democratic primary—sparked by Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge to Sen. Ed Markey—former Biden aide Dan Koh commands trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability, driven by his fundraising dominance, exceeding rivals' combined totals in early 2026 reports, and high-profile endorsements including Pete Buttigieg in February and President Biden on May 4 praising his record on working families. Local support, such as Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan's recent backing, further bolsters his position in the crowded field ahead of the September 1 primary. Fragmented opposition, with Tram Nguyen and others below 4%, reflects limited momentum despite candidate forums highlighting federal funding visions.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,877
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open MA-06 Democratic primary—sparked by Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge to Sen. Ed Markey—former Biden aide Dan Koh commands trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability, driven by his fundraising dominance, exceeding rivals' combined totals in early 2026 reports, and high-profile endorsements including Pete Buttigieg in February and President Biden on May 4 praising his record on working families. Local support, such as Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan's recent backing, further bolsters his position in the crowded field ahead of the September 1 primary. Fragmented opposition, with Tram Nguyen and others below 4%, reflects limited momentum despite candidate forums highlighting federal funding visions.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,877
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 80%, followed by "Rachel Creemers" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $36.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Dan Koh" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rachel Creemers" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.