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Iran Regime predictions & odds

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Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

1%

$19M Vol.

$319K today

$952K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

9%

June 30

$43M Vol.

$118K today

$538K Liq.

399

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$111K today

$292K Liq.

379

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$39M Vol.

$80.6K today

$707K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

64%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$1M Liq.

109

Ends in 8 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

35%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$242K Liq.

1,077

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

18%

$18M Vol.

$369K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

96%

$756K Vol.

$86.6K Liq.

63

Ends in about 2 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

13%

$1M Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

23

Ends in about 2 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

75%

December 31

$481K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

46

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

5%

$139K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

4%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$34.5K Liq.

65

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

8%

$1M Vol.

$104K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

11%

$78.1K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

6%

June 30

$432K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

10

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

9%

$579K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

1%

$216K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Iran Regime.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for Iran Regime that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $164.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 9% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Iran Regime predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.