Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race as the frontrunner, with recent April and May polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas showing him at 41-47% in first-round voting intentions against incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT at around 32%. His strong name recognition as a former governor, combined with his official pre-candidacy announcement in mid-May, has reinforced trader consensus on his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Elmano’s support holds steady among PT voters but shows limited expansion in head-to-head scenarios. Camilo Santana, the PT senator and ex-governor, registers higher support in alternative matchups, while lower-probability options like Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner trail with single-digit or minimal shares reflecting narrower coalitions and weaker polling momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
卡米洛·桑塔纳 5.1%
Capitão Wagner 2.3%
$55,551 交易量
$55,551 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
68%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
5%
Capitão Wagner
2%
Eduardo Girão
2%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
卡米洛·桑塔纳 5.1%
Capitão Wagner 2.3%
$55,551 交易量
$55,551 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 交易量
68%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,390 交易量
28%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$3,305 交易量
5%
Capitão Wagner
$4,334 交易量
2%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 交易量
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race as the frontrunner, with recent April and May polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas showing him at 41-47% in first-round voting intentions against incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT at around 32%. His strong name recognition as a former governor, combined with his official pre-candidacy announcement in mid-May, has reinforced trader consensus on his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Elmano’s support holds steady among PT voters but shows limited expansion in head-to-head scenarios. Camilo Santana, the PT senator and ex-governor, registers higher support in alternative matchups, while lower-probability options like Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner trail with single-digit or minimal shares reflecting narrower coalitions and weaker polling momentum.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$55,551结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race as the frontrunner, with recent April and May polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas showing him at 41-47% in first-round voting intentions against incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT at around 32%. His strong name recognition as a former governor, combined with his official pre-candidacy announcement in mid-May, has reinforced trader consensus on his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Elmano’s support holds steady among PT voters but shows limited expansion in head-to-head scenarios. Camilo Santana, the PT senator and ex-governor, registers higher support in alternative matchups, while lower-probability options like Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner trail with single-digit or minimal shares reflecting narrower coalitions and weaker polling momentum.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$55,551结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race as the frontrunner, with recent April and May polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas showing him at 41-47% in first-round voting intentions against incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT at around 32%. His strong name recognition as a former governor, combined with his official pre-candidacy announcement in mid-May, has reinforced trader consensus on his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Elmano’s support holds steady among PT voters but shows limited expansion in head-to-head scenarios. Camilo Santana, the PT senator and ex-governor, registers higher support in alternative matchups, while lower-probability options like Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner trail with single-digit or minimal shares reflecting narrower coalitions and weaker polling momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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