Official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Ankara on May 15, 2026, with temperatures peaking midday under partly cloudy skies and light winds before falling overnight. This measured high aligns with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which had forecasted a modest spring day influenced by a high-pressure system suppressing warmer air masses from the south. The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on 17°C reflects this verified data release, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers station-specific anomalies or sensor recalibration. Any shift would require documented discrepancies exceeding standard observational tolerances, a rare occurrence for established national networks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$56,757 交易量
$56,757 交易量
2026-05-15
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$56,757 交易量
$56,757 交易量
2026-05-15
11°C or below
$877 交易量
No
12°C
$3,526 交易量
No
13°C
$1,438 交易量
No
14°C
$3,852 交易量
No
15°C
$4,338 交易量
No
16°C
$8,467 交易量
No
17°C
$8,340 交易量
Yes
18°C
$6,576 交易量
No
19°C
$4,327 交易量
No
20°C
$8,301 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$6,715 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Ankara on May 15, 2026, with temperatures peaking midday under partly cloudy skies and light winds before falling overnight. This measured high aligns with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which had forecasted a modest spring day influenced by a high-pressure system suppressing warmer air masses from the south. The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on 17°C reflects this verified data release, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers station-specific anomalies or sensor recalibration. Any shift would require documented discrepancies exceeding standard observational tolerances, a rare occurrence for established national networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$56,757结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Ankara on May 15, 2026, with temperatures peaking midday under partly cloudy skies and light winds before falling overnight. This measured high aligns with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which had forecasted a modest spring day influenced by a high-pressure system suppressing warmer air masses from the south. The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on 17°C reflects this verified data release, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers station-specific anomalies or sensor recalibration. Any shift would require documented discrepancies exceeding standard observational tolerances, a rare occurrence for established national networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$56,757结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Ankara on May 15, 2026, with temperatures peaking midday under partly cloudy skies and light winds before falling overnight. This measured high aligns with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which had forecasted a modest spring day influenced by a high-pressure system suppressing warmer air masses from the south. The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on 17°C reflects this verified data release, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers station-specific anomalies or sensor recalibration. Any shift would require documented discrepancies exceeding standard observational tolerances, a rare occurrence for established national networks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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