Current meteorological forecasts position Ankara for a daily maximum of 20°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service incorporates prevailing high-pressure systems and typical mid-May temperature advection over central Anatolia, producing a tight range with minimal upside potential. Historical climatological baselines for the period show average highs near this level, reinforcing trader alignment with observed data rather than speculative warming scenarios. Resolution hinges on the verified peak reading, which could shift only if rapid changes in cloud cover or localized wind patterns occur before the close of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 交易量
$65,355 交易量
2026-05-16
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 交易量
$65,355 交易量
2026-05-16
20°C
$8,099 交易量
100%
21°C
$18,797 交易量
<1%
22°C
$7,128 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,273 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts position Ankara for a daily maximum of 20°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service incorporates prevailing high-pressure systems and typical mid-May temperature advection over central Anatolia, producing a tight range with minimal upside potential. Historical climatological baselines for the period show average highs near this level, reinforcing trader alignment with observed data rather than speculative warming scenarios. Resolution hinges on the verified peak reading, which could shift only if rapid changes in cloud cover or localized wind patterns occur before the close of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$65,355结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts position Ankara for a daily maximum of 20°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service incorporates prevailing high-pressure systems and typical mid-May temperature advection over central Anatolia, producing a tight range with minimal upside potential. Historical climatological baselines for the period show average highs near this level, reinforcing trader alignment with observed data rather than speculative warming scenarios. Resolution hinges on the verified peak reading, which could shift only if rapid changes in cloud cover or localized wind patterns occur before the close of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,355结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts position Ankara for a daily maximum of 20°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service incorporates prevailing high-pressure systems and typical mid-May temperature advection over central Anatolia, producing a tight range with minimal upside potential. Historical climatological baselines for the period show average highs near this level, reinforcing trader alignment with observed data rather than speculative warming scenarios. Resolution hinges on the verified peak reading, which could shift only if rapid changes in cloud cover or localized wind patterns occur before the close of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题