National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime maximum near 76–77°F for Denver on May 16 under stable high-pressure ridging, modest northerly flow, and limited afternoon cloud cover. This consensus, aligned with mid-May climatological norms of roughly 68–74°F, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 76–77°F bin. Surface heating will be moderated by seasonal spring moisture and light winds, reducing the likelihood of significant departures. The only realistic pathways to higher outcomes involve unexpected clear-sky intensification or a sharp veer in wind direction that enhances downslope warming, while cooler readings would require persistent low-level stratus or a faster cold-front passage—developments not currently supported by the latest observational trends or model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 97.4%
78-79°F 3.9%
84°F or higher <1%
80-81°F <1%
$58,382 交易量
$58,382 交易量
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
76-77°F
97%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 97.4%
78-79°F 3.9%
84°F or higher <1%
80-81°F <1%
$58,382 交易量
$58,382 交易量
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
76-77°F
97%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime maximum near 76–77°F for Denver on May 16 under stable high-pressure ridging, modest northerly flow, and limited afternoon cloud cover. This consensus, aligned with mid-May climatological norms of roughly 68–74°F, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 76–77°F bin. Surface heating will be moderated by seasonal spring moisture and light winds, reducing the likelihood of significant departures. The only realistic pathways to higher outcomes involve unexpected clear-sky intensification or a sharp veer in wind direction that enhances downslope warming, while cooler readings would require persistent low-level stratus or a faster cold-front passage—developments not currently supported by the latest observational trends or model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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