India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 13?
37°C or below 100.0%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$56,545 交易量
$56,545 交易量
2026-05-13
37°C or below
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
37°C or below 100.0%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$56,545 交易量
$56,545 交易量
2026-05-13
37°C or below
$9,348 交易量
Yes
38°C
$3,233 交易量
No
39°C
$3,660 交易量
No
40°C
$4,031 交易量
No
41°C
$8,655 交易量
No
42°C
$4,702 交易量
No
43°C
$4,207 交易量
No
44°C
$4,184 交易量
No
45°C
$4,384 交易量
No
46°C
$4,700 交易量
No
47°C or higher
$5,443 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
交易量
$56,545结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$56,545结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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