Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a daily maximum of 20°C on May 16, 2026, under the influence of a stable high-pressure ridge that suppressed convective heating and maintained light northerly winds with mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May in central Spain where average highs hover near 22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this verified data, assigning near-certainty to the 20°C bucket. A realistic challenge could arise only from a post-event correction in the official station record exceeding the 0.5°C rounding threshold used for resolution, though such adjustments are rare once initial quality-controlled readings are released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,984 交易量
$85,984 交易量
2026-05-16
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,984 交易量
$85,984 交易量
2026-05-16
20°C
$11,262 交易量
100%
21°C
$12,254 交易量
<1%
22°C
$10,385 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,885 交易量
<1%
24°C
$6,168 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,529 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a daily maximum of 20°C on May 16, 2026, under the influence of a stable high-pressure ridge that suppressed convective heating and maintained light northerly winds with mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May in central Spain where average highs hover near 22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this verified data, assigning near-certainty to the 20°C bucket. A realistic challenge could arise only from a post-event correction in the official station record exceeding the 0.5°C rounding threshold used for resolution, though such adjustments are rare once initial quality-controlled readings are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$85,984结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a daily maximum of 20°C on May 16, 2026, under the influence of a stable high-pressure ridge that suppressed convective heating and maintained light northerly winds with mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May in central Spain where average highs hover near 22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this verified data, assigning near-certainty to the 20°C bucket. A realistic challenge could arise only from a post-event correction in the official station record exceeding the 0.5°C rounding threshold used for resolution, though such adjustments are rare once initial quality-controlled readings are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$85,984结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a daily maximum of 20°C on May 16, 2026, under the influence of a stable high-pressure ridge that suppressed convective heating and maintained light northerly winds with mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May in central Spain where average highs hover near 22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this verified data, assigning near-certainty to the 20°C bucket. A realistic challenge could arise only from a post-event correction in the official station record exceeding the 0.5°C rounding threshold used for resolution, though such adjustments are rare once initial quality-controlled readings are released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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