Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and supporting models like those from AccuWeather project a high temperature of 24–27°C in Mexico City today, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher as traders align with this consensus backed by real capital. Current morning observations show temperatures around 14–17°C under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, with ample daytime solar heating expected amid typical late-May dry-season patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Historical May highs average 25°C, reinforcing positioning. Realistic challenges—unlikely sudden overcast or northerly winds—would require abrupt atmospheric shifts, absent in steering currents; final resolution awaits evening data from key stations like Benito Juárez International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 14?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$26,675 交易量
$26,675 交易量
2026-05-14
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$26,675 交易量
$26,675 交易量
2026-05-14
11°C or below
$673 交易量
No
12°C
$691 交易量
No
13°C
$1,048 交易量
No
14°C
$946 交易量
No
15°C
$810 交易量
No
16°C
$834 交易量
No
17°C
$2,537 交易量
No
18°C
$2,489 交易量
No
19°C
$864 交易量
No
20°C
$3,399 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$12,383 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and supporting models like those from AccuWeather project a high temperature of 24–27°C in Mexico City today, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher as traders align with this consensus backed by real capital. Current morning observations show temperatures around 14–17°C under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, with ample daytime solar heating expected amid typical late-May dry-season patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Historical May highs average 25°C, reinforcing positioning. Realistic challenges—unlikely sudden overcast or northerly winds—would require abrupt atmospheric shifts, absent in steering currents; final resolution awaits evening data from key stations like Benito Juárez International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$26,675结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and supporting models like those from AccuWeather project a high temperature of 24–27°C in Mexico City today, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher as traders align with this consensus backed by real capital. Current morning observations show temperatures around 14–17°C under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, with ample daytime solar heating expected amid typical late-May dry-season patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Historical May highs average 25°C, reinforcing positioning. Realistic challenges—unlikely sudden overcast or northerly winds—would require abrupt atmospheric shifts, absent in steering currents; final resolution awaits evening data from key stations like Benito Juárez International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,675结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and supporting models like those from AccuWeather project a high temperature of 24–27°C in Mexico City today, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher as traders align with this consensus backed by real capital. Current morning observations show temperatures around 14–17°C under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, with ample daytime solar heating expected amid typical late-May dry-season patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Historical May highs average 25°C, reinforcing positioning. Realistic challenges—unlikely sudden overcast or northerly winds—would require abrupt atmospheric shifts, absent in steering currents; final resolution awaits evening data from key stations like Benito Juárez International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题