Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日巴黎气温最高？
5月16日巴黎气温最高？
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,136 交易量
$155,136 交易量
2026-05-16
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,136 交易量
$155,136 交易量
2026-05-16
16°C
$29,435 交易量
100%
17°C
$32,122 交易量
<1%
18°C
$10,666 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,855 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$3,059 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$155,136结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$155,136结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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