Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 13?
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$29,472 交易量
$29,472 交易量
2026-05-13
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$29,472 交易量
$29,472 交易量
2026-05-13
23°C or below
$12,183 交易量
Yes
24°C
$2,967 交易量
No
25°C
$1,894 交易量
No
26°C
$1,962 交易量
No
27°C
$1,983 交易量
No
28°C
$1,544 交易量
No
29°C
$1,262 交易量
No
30°C
$1,008 交易量
No
31°C
$3,222 交易量
No
32°C
$701 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$746 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$29,472结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,472结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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