Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 25°C (100%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on May 13, driven by verified observational data from official stations like those operated by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Mirante de Santana, which recorded a peak of precisely 25°C amid a lingering polar air mass suppressing daytime heating. Clear skies and low humidity allowed for typical May radiative cooling overnight (mínimas near 11°C), but upper-air stability prevented significant warming beyond this threshold, aligning with forecast models from CPTEC-INPE predicting maxima around 23–26°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require a rare post hoc revision from auxiliary stations like Congonhas Airport reporting higher verified readings, though INMET's preliminary bulletin solidifies the outcome absent contradictory evidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 13?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,660 交易量
$49,660 交易量
2026-05-13
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,660 交易量
$49,660 交易量
2026-05-13
22°C or below
$7,030 交易量
No
23°C
$5,652 交易量
No
24°C
$4,231 交易量
No
25°C
$6,045 交易量
Yes
26°C
$5,682 交易量
No
27°C
$4,192 交易量
No
28°C
$4,180 交易量
No
29°C
$3,680 交易量
No
30°C
$2,161 交易量
No
31°C
$3,321 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$3,485 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 25°C (100%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on May 13, driven by verified observational data from official stations like those operated by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Mirante de Santana, which recorded a peak of precisely 25°C amid a lingering polar air mass suppressing daytime heating. Clear skies and low humidity allowed for typical May radiative cooling overnight (mínimas near 11°C), but upper-air stability prevented significant warming beyond this threshold, aligning with forecast models from CPTEC-INPE predicting maxima around 23–26°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require a rare post hoc revision from auxiliary stations like Congonhas Airport reporting higher verified readings, though INMET's preliminary bulletin solidifies the outcome absent contradictory evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$49,660结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 25°C (100%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on May 13, driven by verified observational data from official stations like those operated by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Mirante de Santana, which recorded a peak of precisely 25°C amid a lingering polar air mass suppressing daytime heating. Clear skies and low humidity allowed for typical May radiative cooling overnight (mínimas near 11°C), but upper-air stability prevented significant warming beyond this threshold, aligning with forecast models from CPTEC-INPE predicting maxima around 23–26°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require a rare post hoc revision from auxiliary stations like Congonhas Airport reporting higher verified readings, though INMET's preliminary bulletin solidifies the outcome absent contradictory evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$49,660结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 25°C (100%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on May 13, driven by verified observational data from official stations like those operated by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Mirante de Santana, which recorded a peak of precisely 25°C amid a lingering polar air mass suppressing daytime heating. Clear skies and low humidity allowed for typical May radiative cooling overnight (mínimas near 11°C), but upper-air stability prevented significant warming beyond this threshold, aligning with forecast models from CPTEC-INPE predicting maxima around 23–26°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require a rare post hoc revision from auxiliary stations like Congonhas Airport reporting higher verified readings, though INMET's preliminary bulletin solidifies the outcome absent contradictory evidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题