Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), the market's designated weather station, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, amid dry, stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover that aligned closely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Brazil's INMET/CPTEC models projecting highs near 26°C. This verified measurement from calibrated automated sensors—reporting hourly via METAR—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data. While revisions are exceedingly rare, a scenario challenging this could involve INMET quality control detecting a sensor anomaly and substituting data from a secondary station like Mirante de Santana showing a divergent peak. Final daily summaries from INMET are pending but expected to affirm the reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$48,949 交易量
$48,949 交易量
2026-05-14
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$48,949 交易量
$48,949 交易量
2026-05-14
21°C or below
$1,595 交易量
No
22°C
$2,679 交易量
No
23°C
$5,130 交易量
No
24°C
$4,744 交易量
No
25°C
$4,943 交易量
No
26°C
$6,485 交易量
Yes
27°C
$8,846 交易量
No
28°C
$6,712 交易量
No
29°C
$5,024 交易量
No
30°C
$1,603 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$1,189 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), the market's designated weather station, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, amid dry, stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover that aligned closely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Brazil's INMET/CPTEC models projecting highs near 26°C. This verified measurement from calibrated automated sensors—reporting hourly via METAR—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data. While revisions are exceedingly rare, a scenario challenging this could involve INMET quality control detecting a sensor anomaly and substituting data from a secondary station like Mirante de Santana showing a divergent peak. Final daily summaries from INMET are pending but expected to affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$48,949结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), the market's designated weather station, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, amid dry, stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover that aligned closely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Brazil's INMET/CPTEC models projecting highs near 26°C. This verified measurement from calibrated automated sensors—reporting hourly via METAR—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data. While revisions are exceedingly rare, a scenario challenging this could involve INMET quality control detecting a sensor anomaly and substituting data from a secondary station like Mirante de Santana showing a divergent peak. Final daily summaries from INMET are pending but expected to affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,949结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), the market's designated weather station, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, amid dry, stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover that aligned closely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Brazil's INMET/CPTEC models projecting highs near 26°C. This verified measurement from calibrated automated sensors—reporting hourly via METAR—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data. While revisions are exceedingly rare, a scenario challenging this could involve INMET quality control detecting a sensor anomaly and substituting data from a secondary station like Mirante de Santana showing a divergent peak. Final daily summaries from INMET are pending but expected to affirm the reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题