Montana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Republican tilt rooted in its rural eastern geography and voting history, supporting incumbent Troy Downing's strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Downing faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Brian Miller emerged from the June primary as the challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on prior results and structural factors. Traders price Republican victory at 93.5 percent, reflecting limited evidence of shifts from national midterm dynamics or local developments. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout that overcomes the district's established partisan balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,718 交易量
$39,718 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$39,718 交易量
$39,718 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$23,247 交易量
94%
民主党
$16,471 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Republican tilt rooted in its rural eastern geography and voting history, supporting incumbent Troy Downing's strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Downing faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Brian Miller emerged from the June primary as the challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on prior results and structural factors. Traders price Republican victory at 93.5 percent, reflecting limited evidence of shifts from national midterm dynamics or local developments. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout that overcomes the district's established partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$39,718结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Republican tilt rooted in its rural eastern geography and voting history, supporting incumbent Troy Downing's strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Downing faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Brian Miller emerged from the June primary as the challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on prior results and structural factors. Traders price Republican victory at 93.5 percent, reflecting limited evidence of shifts from national midterm dynamics or local developments. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout that overcomes the district's established partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,718结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Republican tilt rooted in its rural eastern geography and voting history, supporting incumbent Troy Downing's strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Downing faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Brian Miller emerged from the June primary as the challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on prior results and structural factors. Traders price Republican victory at 93.5 percent, reflecting limited evidence of shifts from national midterm dynamics or local developments. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout that overcomes the district's established partisan balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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