**Incumbent Rep. Troy Downing's (R) strong reelection bid dominates trader consensus in Montana's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his 65.7% 2024 win and the district's deep-red eastern Montana terrain, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report.** Recent Democratic primary developments, including Jonathan Windy Boy's May 6 campaign unsuspension amid a crowded field with Brian Miller and Sam Lux ahead of the June 2 contest, have failed to generate upset momentum, as no polls indicate competitiveness and independents outpace Democrats in early fundraising. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of structural Republican advantages, with realistic challenges limited to a primary-induced GOP nominee weakness, Downing scandal or legal issue, health event, or broader national midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,411 交易量
93%
民主党
$2,914 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Troy Downing's (R) strong reelection bid dominates trader consensus in Montana's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his 65.7% 2024 win and the district's deep-red eastern Montana terrain, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report.** Recent Democratic primary developments, including Jonathan Windy Boy's May 6 campaign unsuspension amid a crowded field with Brian Miller and Sam Lux ahead of the June 2 contest, have failed to generate upset momentum, as no polls indicate competitiveness and independents outpace Democrats in early fundraising. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of structural Republican advantages, with realistic challenges limited to a primary-induced GOP nominee weakness, Downing scandal or legal issue, health event, or broader national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$9,324结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Troy Downing's (R) strong reelection bid dominates trader consensus in Montana's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his 65.7% 2024 win and the district's deep-red eastern Montana terrain, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report.** Recent Democratic primary developments, including Jonathan Windy Boy's May 6 campaign unsuspension amid a crowded field with Brian Miller and Sam Lux ahead of the June 2 contest, have failed to generate upset momentum, as no polls indicate competitiveness and independents outpace Democrats in early fundraising. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of structural Republican advantages, with realistic challenges limited to a primary-induced GOP nominee weakness, Downing scandal or legal issue, health event, or broader national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,324结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Troy Downing's (R) strong reelection bid dominates trader consensus in Montana's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his 65.7% 2024 win and the district's deep-red eastern Montana terrain, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report.** Recent Democratic primary developments, including Jonathan Windy Boy's May 6 campaign unsuspension amid a crowded field with Brian Miller and Sam Lux ahead of the June 2 contest, have failed to generate upset momentum, as no polls indicate competitiveness and independents outpace Democrats in early fundraising. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of structural Republican advantages, with realistic challenges limited to a primary-induced GOP nominee weakness, Downing scandal or legal issue, health event, or broader national midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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