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Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ryan Fazio 96.5%

Betsy McCaughey 1.4%

Timothy Wilcox 1.2%

Harry Arora 1.1%

Polymarket

$16,803 Vol.

Ryan Fazio 96.5%

Betsy McCaughey 1.4%

Timothy Wilcox 1.2%

Harry Arora 1.1%

Polymarket

$16,803 Vol.

Ryan Fazio

$6,352 Vol.

97%

Betsy McCaughey

$682 Vol.

1%

Timothy Wilcox

$5,669 Vol.

1%

Harry Arora

$452 Vol.

24%

Erin Stewart

$3,648 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Ryan Fazio secured the Republican endorsement for Connecticut governor at the state convention on May 16, 2026, after former front-runner Erin Stewart withdrew amid reports of campaign spending issues and Betsy McCaughey failed to reach the 15 percent delegate threshold needed to force an August 11 primary. Delegates backed Fazio by a wide margin on the first ballot before shifting to unanimous support, reflecting party efforts to consolidate behind a single candidate for the general election against incumbent Gov. Ned Lamont. Remaining challengers including Harry Arora, Timothy Wilcox, and McCaughey hold minimal shares, as the convention outcome has effectively narrowed the field. Late developments such as additional candidate withdrawals or unforeseen primary ballot access disputes could still influence final results before the August vote.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,803
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Ryan Fazio secured the Republican endorsement for Connecticut governor at the state convention on May 16, 2026, after former front-runner Erin Stewart withdrew amid reports of campaign spending issues and Betsy McCaughey failed to reach the 15 percent delegate threshold needed to force an August 11 primary. Delegates backed Fazio by a wide margin on the first ballot before shifting to unanimous support, reflecting party efforts to consolidate behind a single candidate for the general election against incumbent Gov. Ned Lamont. Remaining challengers including Harry Arora, Timothy Wilcox, and McCaughey hold minimal shares, as the convention outcome has effectively narrowed the field. Late developments such as additional candidate withdrawals or unforeseen primary ballot access disputes could still influence final results before the August vote.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,803
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ryan Fazio" at 97%, followed by "Harry Arora" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Ryan Fazio" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Arora" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.