Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary race with strong trader consensus driven by his substantial fundraising edge, including roughly $4.5 million raised and millions in cash reserves, enabling sustained television advertising that highlights his federal experience as a former Biden administration and Labor Department official. A recent Global Strategy Group poll from late July to early August showed Koh at 34% among likely Democratic voters, nearly double his nearest rivals, reflecting momentum as the September 1 primary nears. Tram Nguyen, the only sitting state legislator in the field, trails as the clearest alternative with a compelling personal biography and early internal polling leads that have since narrowed amid the resource gap. The remaining candidates, including John Beccia and others, register minimal support due to limited visibility and organization in a race centered on affordability, opposition to the Trump administration, and federal versus state experience.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDan Koh 79%
Tram Nguyen 12.8%
John Beccia 4.0%
Kevin Larivee 1.2%
$68,850 Vol.
$68,850 Vol.

Dan Koh
79%

Tram Nguyen
13%

John Beccia
4%

Kevin Larivee
1%

Dominick Pangallo
<1%

Seth Moulton
<1%

Beth Andres-Beck
<1%

Mariah Lancaster
<1%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
<1%

Rick Jakious
<1%

Rachel Creemers
<1%

Diann Slavit Baylis
<1%
Dan Koh 79%
Tram Nguyen 12.8%
John Beccia 4.0%
Kevin Larivee 1.2%
$68,850 Vol.
$68,850 Vol.

Dan Koh
79%

Tram Nguyen
13%

John Beccia
4%

Kevin Larivee
1%

Dominick Pangallo
<1%

Seth Moulton
<1%

Beth Andres-Beck
<1%

Mariah Lancaster
<1%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
<1%

Rick Jakious
<1%

Rachel Creemers
<1%

Diann Slavit Baylis
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary race with strong trader consensus driven by his substantial fundraising edge, including roughly $4.5 million raised and millions in cash reserves, enabling sustained television advertising that highlights his federal experience as a former Biden administration and Labor Department official. A recent Global Strategy Group poll from late July to early August showed Koh at 34% among likely Democratic voters, nearly double his nearest rivals, reflecting momentum as the September 1 primary nears. Tram Nguyen, the only sitting state legislator in the field, trails as the clearest alternative with a compelling personal biography and early internal polling leads that have since narrowed amid the resource gap. The remaining candidates, including John Beccia and others, register minimal support due to limited visibility and organization in a race centered on affordability, opposition to the Trump administration, and federal versus state experience.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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