Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the North Carolina Senate race due to his strong polling averages of roughly 50 percent against Michael Whatley's 42-44 percent among likely voters, backed by superior name recognition as a two-term former governor, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $35 million raised, and consistent leads that prompted forecasters to shift the open seat from toss-up to lean Democratic. Traders' 91 percent consensus reflects this evidence of voter preference in the contest to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis. Whatley, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former RNC chair, has improved recognition but trails in cash reserves and faces challenges narrowing the gap ahead of the November 2026 vote. Shifts could occur through intensified turnout efforts, national political developments, or late-campaign events altering the current margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$88,681 Vol.
$88,681 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
91%
Michael Whatley (R)
9%
$88,681 Vol.
$88,681 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
$34,680 Vol.
91%
Michael Whatley (R)
$54,001 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the North Carolina Senate race due to his strong polling averages of roughly 50 percent against Michael Whatley's 42-44 percent among likely voters, backed by superior name recognition as a two-term former governor, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $35 million raised, and consistent leads that prompted forecasters to shift the open seat from toss-up to lean Democratic. Traders' 91 percent consensus reflects this evidence of voter preference in the contest to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis. Whatley, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former RNC chair, has improved recognition but trails in cash reserves and faces challenges narrowing the gap ahead of the November 2026 vote. Shifts could occur through intensified turnout efforts, national political developments, or late-campaign events altering the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$88,681End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the North Carolina Senate race due to his strong polling averages of roughly 50 percent against Michael Whatley's 42-44 percent among likely voters, backed by superior name recognition as a two-term former governor, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $35 million raised, and consistent leads that prompted forecasters to shift the open seat from toss-up to lean Democratic. Traders' 91 percent consensus reflects this evidence of voter preference in the contest to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis. Whatley, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former RNC chair, has improved recognition but trails in cash reserves and faces challenges narrowing the gap ahead of the November 2026 vote. Shifts could occur through intensified turnout efforts, national political developments, or late-campaign events altering the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$88,681End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the North Carolina Senate race due to his strong polling averages of roughly 50 percent against Michael Whatley's 42-44 percent among likely voters, backed by superior name recognition as a two-term former governor, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $35 million raised, and consistent leads that prompted forecasters to shift the open seat from toss-up to lean Democratic. Traders' 91 percent consensus reflects this evidence of voter preference in the contest to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis. Whatley, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former RNC chair, has improved recognition but trails in cash reserves and faces challenges narrowing the gap ahead of the November 2026 vote. Shifts could occur through intensified turnout efforts, national political developments, or late-campaign events altering the current margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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