Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes benefits from Ohio’s post-2025 redistricting, which protected the Akron-area 13th district and shifted its partisan voting index modestly toward Democrats. Sykes won her prior general election by a narrow margin and faces Republican nominee Carey Coleman following the May 2026 GOP primary. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying composition and Sykes’s incumbency in a state where Republicans hold most other House seats. Trader consensus at 93% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban or working-class voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome the district’s current baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-13 House Election Winner
OH-13 House Election Winner
$15,843 Vol.
$15,843 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$15,843 Vol.
$15,843 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,864 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$8,980 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes benefits from Ohio’s post-2025 redistricting, which protected the Akron-area 13th district and shifted its partisan voting index modestly toward Democrats. Sykes won her prior general election by a narrow margin and faces Republican nominee Carey Coleman following the May 2026 GOP primary. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying composition and Sykes’s incumbency in a state where Republicans hold most other House seats. Trader consensus at 93% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban or working-class voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome the district’s current baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$15,843End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes benefits from Ohio’s post-2025 redistricting, which protected the Akron-area 13th district and shifted its partisan voting index modestly toward Democrats. Sykes won her prior general election by a narrow margin and faces Republican nominee Carey Coleman following the May 2026 GOP primary. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying composition and Sykes’s incumbency in a state where Republicans hold most other House seats. Trader consensus at 93% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban or working-class voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome the district’s current baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,843End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes benefits from Ohio’s post-2025 redistricting, which protected the Akron-area 13th district and shifted its partisan voting index modestly toward Democrats. Sykes won her prior general election by a narrow margin and faces Republican nominee Carey Coleman following the May 2026 GOP primary. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying composition and Sykes’s incumbency in a state where Republicans hold most other House seats. Trader consensus at 93% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban or working-class voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome the district’s current baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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