The Santa Catarina Senate race for first place remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 election, with no candidate establishing a dominant position in available polling or trader pricing. Incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) faces competition from PL-aligned figures such as Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni, alongside left-leaning options including Marlene Soccas (UP) and Décio Lima (PT), plus others like Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL). Official candidacies were confirmed following party conventions in early August, leaving roughly two months for campaigns to clarify voter preferences. The two-seat structure and fragmented field sustain uncertainty, with shifts likely driven by upcoming polls, regional turnout patterns, and any late alliances or endorsements that consolidate support among key voting blocs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Marlene Soccas 29%
Jeferson da Rocha 24%
Esperidião Amin 22%
Marcos Dorval 21%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Marlene Soccas
29%
Jeferson da Rocha
24%
Esperidião Amin
22%
Marcos Dorval
21%
Carol de Toni
15%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
13%
Carlos Bolsonaro
13%
Lunelli
12%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
11%
Carol
11%
Afrânio Boppré
10%
Décio Lima
19%
Joaninha de Oliveira
7%
Marlene Soccas 29%
Jeferson da Rocha 24%
Esperidião Amin 22%
Marcos Dorval 21%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Marlene Soccas
$56 Vol.
29%
Jeferson da Rocha
$56 Vol.
24%
Esperidião Amin
$56 Vol.
22%
Marcos Dorval
$56 Vol.
21%
Carol de Toni
$76 Vol.
15%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$56 Vol.
13%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$95 Vol.
13%
Lunelli
$76 Vol.
12%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$56 Vol.
11%
Carol
$56 Vol.
11%
Afrânio Boppré
$72 Vol.
10%
Décio Lima
$72 Vol.
19%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$82 Vol.
7%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina Senate race for first place remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 election, with no candidate establishing a dominant position in available polling or trader pricing. Incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) faces competition from PL-aligned figures such as Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni, alongside left-leaning options including Marlene Soccas (UP) and Décio Lima (PT), plus others like Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL). Official candidacies were confirmed following party conventions in early August, leaving roughly two months for campaigns to clarify voter preferences. The two-seat structure and fragmented field sustain uncertainty, with shifts likely driven by upcoming polls, regional turnout patterns, and any late alliances or endorsements that consolidate support among key voting blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$865End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina Senate race for first place remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 election, with no candidate establishing a dominant position in available polling or trader pricing. Incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) faces competition from PL-aligned figures such as Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni, alongside left-leaning options including Marlene Soccas (UP) and Décio Lima (PT), plus others like Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL). Official candidacies were confirmed following party conventions in early August, leaving roughly two months for campaigns to clarify voter preferences. The two-seat structure and fragmented field sustain uncertainty, with shifts likely driven by upcoming polls, regional turnout patterns, and any late alliances or endorsements that consolidate support among key voting blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$865End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina Senate race for first place remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 election, with no candidate establishing a dominant position in available polling or trader pricing. Incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) faces competition from PL-aligned figures such as Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni, alongside left-leaning options including Marlene Soccas (UP) and Décio Lima (PT), plus others like Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL). Official candidacies were confirmed following party conventions in early August, leaving roughly two months for campaigns to clarify voter preferences. The two-seat structure and fragmented field sustain uncertainty, with shifts likely driven by upcoming polls, regional turnout patterns, and any late alliances or endorsements that consolidate support among key voting blocs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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