Andrea Martella of the center-left coalition leads Polymarket trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, driven by a May 8 Tecnè poll showing him at 49% versus Simone Venturini's 41% for the center-right, with 46% undecideds tilting toward the frontrunner amid high turnout expectations. Recent BiDiMedia surveys reinforce Martella's growing edge, bolstered by endorsements from PD, M5s, and civics focusing on tourism reform and special status. Venturini, outgoing deputy mayor, holds 22% on strong right-wing lists but trails in head-to-heads; a runoff looms June 7-8 if no candidate exceeds 50%. Debates and immigration controversies, including mosque debates, have sharpened divides without shifting polls decisively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 79%
Simone Venturini 21%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$99,450 Vol.
$99,450 Vol.

Andrea Martella
79%

Simone Venturini
21%

Michele Boldrin
<1%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Andrea Martella 79%
Simone Venturini 21%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$99,450 Vol.
$99,450 Vol.

Andrea Martella
79%

Simone Venturini
21%

Michele Boldrin
<1%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andrea Martella of the center-left coalition leads Polymarket trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, driven by a May 8 Tecnè poll showing him at 49% versus Simone Venturini's 41% for the center-right, with 46% undecideds tilting toward the frontrunner amid high turnout expectations. Recent BiDiMedia surveys reinforce Martella's growing edge, bolstered by endorsements from PD, M5s, and civics focusing on tourism reform and special status. Venturini, outgoing deputy mayor, holds 22% on strong right-wing lists but trails in head-to-heads; a runoff looms June 7-8 if no candidate exceeds 50%. Debates and immigration controversies, including mosque debates, have sharpened divides without shifting polls decisively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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