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icon for WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Fred Clark 100.0%

Chris Armstrong <1%

Ginger Murray <1%

Polymarket

$46,469 Vol.

Fred Clark 100.0%

Chris Armstrong <1%

Ginger Murray <1%

Polymarket

$46,469 Vol.

icon for Chris Armstrong

Chris Armstrong

$3,075 Vol.

No

icon for Fred Clark

Fred Clark

$34,419 Vol.

Yes

icon for Ginger Murray

Ginger Murray

$8,975 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Fred Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 primary, leading to his commanding position in the market. As a former state assembly member with prior legislative experience and a background in forestry and conservation relevant to the district's economy, Clark outperformed challengers Ginger Murray and Chris Armstrong in vote tallies reported by the Associated Press and other outlets. Recent campaign activity, including candidate debates and voter outreach across northern Wisconsin counties, contributed to his edge in this open-seat contest following the Republican incumbent's departure. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary results, though late procedural developments such as final certification or any recount could still influence resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$46,469
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Fred Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 primary, leading to his commanding position in the market. As a former state assembly member with prior legislative experience and a background in forestry and conservation relevant to the district's economy, Clark outperformed challengers Ginger Murray and Chris Armstrong in vote tallies reported by the Associated Press and other outlets. Recent campaign activity, including candidate debates and voter outreach across northern Wisconsin counties, contributed to his edge in this open-seat contest following the Republican incumbent's departure. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary results, though late procedural developments such as final certification or any recount could still influence resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$46,469
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fred Clark" at 100%, followed by "Chris Armstrong" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $46.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Fred Clark" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Armstrong" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.