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icon for Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

icon for Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

18% chance
Polymarket

$38,186 Vol.

18% chance
Polymarket

$38,186 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus at 85% for “No” reflects the absence of any new full BRICS member admitted in 2026 to date, following completed expansions in prior years.** India assumed the rotating chairmanship on January 1, 2026, with its September 12–13 New Delhi summit focused on resilience, innovation, sustainability, and south-south cooperation rather than immediate full-membership decisions. The bloc currently comprises 11 full members after Indonesia’s 2025 accession and maintains a separate “partner countries” category (ten nations added in 2025). Consensus-based admission rules, combined with more than 30 formal applications and internal divergences among members, have slowed further enlargement. The emphasis on the partner tier as an intermediate status and the timing of the remaining 2026 calendar have reinforced market expectations that no new full member will join before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$38,186
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus at 85% for “No” reflects the absence of any new full BRICS member admitted in 2026 to date, following completed expansions in prior years.** India assumed the rotating chairmanship on January 1, 2026, with its September 12–13 New Delhi summit focused on resilience, innovation, sustainability, and south-south cooperation rather than immediate full-membership decisions. The bloc currently comprises 11 full members after Indonesia’s 2025 accession and maintains a separate “partner countries” category (ten nations added in 2025). Consensus-based admission rules, combined with more than 30 formal applications and internal divergences among members, have slowed further enlargement. The emphasis on the partner tier as an intermediate status and the timing of the remaining 2026 calendar have reinforced market expectations that no new full member will join before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$38,186
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 18% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 18¢, the market collectively assigns a 18% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" has generated $38.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" is 18% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 18% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.