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Fidel predictions & odds

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

60%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$81.7K Liq.

66

Ends in about 2 months

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

20%

$15.0K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

17%

$247K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

18

Ends in about 2 months

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

26%

$81.7K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

7

Ends in about 2 months

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

37%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$187K today

$45.9K Liq.

57

Ends in 8 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

24%

$240K Vol.

$40.7K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

ITF Hurghada: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Maximillian Figl

ITF Hurghada: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Maximillian Figl

42%

Nino Ehrenschneider

$0 Vol.

$160 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

41%

$107K Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

66%

Javokhir Sindarov

$3 Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

ITF Hurghada: Nico Hipfl vs Pablo Perez Ramos

ITF Hurghada: Nico Hipfl vs Pablo Perez Ramos

100%

Nico Hipfl

$42 Vol.

$201 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Petro - Colombia President

$278K Vol.

$155K today

$276K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

ITF Maringa: Herman Hoeyeraal vs Nicolas Garcia Longo

ITF Maringa: Herman Hoeyeraal vs Nicolas Garcia Longo

50%

Herman Hoeyeraal

$0 Vol.

$267 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

CTRL Esports

$3.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Valorant: Elevate vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B

Valorant: Elevate vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B

50%

RED Canids

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

63%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.4K Vol.

$561 Liq.

2

Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Noskova/Valentova vs Hunter/Pegula

Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Noskova/Valentova vs Hunter/Pegula

50%

Hunter/Pegula

$313 Vol.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

60%

Project 91

$74 Vol.

$159 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

27%

$35.8K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

100%

XI Esport

$140K Vol.

$0 Liq.

ITF Vic: Jack Kennedy vs Emilien Demanet

ITF Vic: Jack Kennedy vs Emilien Demanet

50%

Jack Kennedy

$0 Vol.

$275 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fidel.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Fidel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US military action against Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US military action against Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fidel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.