Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日香港最低气温？
6月14日香港最低气温？
26°C 84.3%
25°C 5.7%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
$60,711 交易量
$60,711 交易量
2026-06-14
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
84%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 84.3%
25°C 5.7%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
$60,711 交易量
$60,711 交易量
2026-06-14
22°C或以下
$2,923 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,899 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,629 交易量
2%
25°C
$4,529 交易量
6%
26°C
$8,489 交易量
84%
27°C
$8,003 交易量
<1%
28°C
$18,740 交易量
<1%
29°C
$6,709 交易量
<1%
30°C
$506 交易量
<1%
31°C
$463 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$1,756 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$60,711结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$60,711结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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