Official Met Office data from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a minimum temperature of 7°C on May 15, driving the market's decisive 100% consensus on this outcome. Mild Atlantic airflow and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented colder readings, consistent with May climatology for the region. No frost or cold-air advection occurred to push values lower, and model guidance aligned closely with observations. While minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions could theoretically shift the official figure, the broad agreement across monitoring networks makes such adjustments improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日伦敦最低气温?
7°C 100.0%
-1°C或更低 <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$17,650 交易量
$17,650 交易量
-1°C或更低
否
0°C
否
1°C
否
2°C
否
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
是
8°C
否
9°C或更高
否
7°C 100.0%
-1°C或更低 <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$17,650 交易量
$17,650 交易量
-1°C或更低
否
0°C
否
1°C
否
2°C
否
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
是
8°C
否
9°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official Met Office data from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a minimum temperature of 7°C on May 15, driving the market's decisive 100% consensus on this outcome. Mild Atlantic airflow and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented colder readings, consistent with May climatology for the region. No frost or cold-air advection occurred to push values lower, and model guidance aligned closely with observations. While minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions could theoretically shift the official figure, the broad agreement across monitoring networks makes such adjustments improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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