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icon for Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

David Jolly 99.8%

Daniella Levine Cava <1%

Angie Nixon <1%

Gwen Graham <1%

Polymarket

$47,681 Vol.

David Jolly 99.8%

Daniella Levine Cava <1%

Angie Nixon <1%

Gwen Graham <1%

Polymarket

$47,681 Vol.

icon for David Jolly

David Jolly

$12,260 Vol.

100%

icon for Daniella Levine Cava

Daniella Levine Cava

$2,612 Vol.

<1%

icon for Angie Nixon

Angie Nixon

$6,289 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gwen Graham

Gwen Graham

$2,920 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jerry Demings

Jerry Demings

$15,157 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shevrin Jones

Shevrin Jones

$3,130 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fentrice Driskell

Fentrice Driskell

$2,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jason Pizzo

Jason Pizzo

$2,576 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Jolly holds overwhelming trader consensus in the Florida Democratic primary for governor due to his early 2025 entry as the first major candidate, party registration shift from Republican to Democrat, and extensive statewide town halls focused on economic issues. Other listed contenders have seen minimal visibility, with figures such as Jerry Demings withdrawing from contention ahead of the August 18 vote. Jolly’s selection of Gwen Graham as running mate further consolidated support. With the primary just one day away, the implied probability reflects limited remaining pathways for challengers absent major late developments like unexpected turnout shifts or ballot issues.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$47,681
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Jolly holds overwhelming trader consensus in the Florida Democratic primary for governor due to his early 2025 entry as the first major candidate, party registration shift from Republican to Democrat, and extensive statewide town halls focused on economic issues. Other listed contenders have seen minimal visibility, with figures such as Jerry Demings withdrawing from contention ahead of the August 18 vote. Jolly’s selection of Gwen Graham as running mate further consolidated support. With the primary just one day away, the implied probability reflects limited remaining pathways for challengers absent major late developments like unexpected turnout shifts or ballot issues.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$47,681
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Jolly" at 100%, followed by "Daniella Levine Cava" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $47.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "David Jolly" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Daniella Levine Cava" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.