David Jolly holds overwhelming trader consensus in the Florida Democratic primary for governor due to his early 2025 entry as the first major candidate, party registration shift from Republican to Democrat, and extensive statewide town halls focused on economic issues. Other listed contenders have seen minimal visibility, with figures such as Jerry Demings withdrawing from contention ahead of the August 18 vote. Jolly’s selection of Gwen Graham as running mate further consolidated support. With the primary just one day away, the implied probability reflects limited remaining pathways for challengers absent major late developments like unexpected turnout shifts or ballot issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDavid Jolly 99.8%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
Angie Nixon <1%
Gwen Graham <1%
$47,681 Vol.
$47,681 Vol.

David Jolly
100%

Daniella Levine Cava
<1%

Angie Nixon
<1%

Gwen Graham
<1%

Jerry Demings
<1%

Shevrin Jones
<1%

Fentrice Driskell
<1%

Jason Pizzo
<1%
David Jolly 99.8%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
Angie Nixon <1%
Gwen Graham <1%
$47,681 Vol.
$47,681 Vol.

David Jolly
100%

Daniella Levine Cava
<1%

Angie Nixon
<1%

Gwen Graham
<1%

Jerry Demings
<1%

Shevrin Jones
<1%

Fentrice Driskell
<1%

Jason Pizzo
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Jolly holds overwhelming trader consensus in the Florida Democratic primary for governor due to his early 2025 entry as the first major candidate, party registration shift from Republican to Democrat, and extensive statewide town halls focused on economic issues. Other listed contenders have seen minimal visibility, with figures such as Jerry Demings withdrawing from contention ahead of the August 18 vote. Jolly’s selection of Gwen Graham as running mate further consolidated support. With the primary just one day away, the implied probability reflects limited remaining pathways for challengers absent major late developments like unexpected turnout shifts or ballot issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions