Recent observational data from the Austin Bergstrom International Airport station confirm a daily high of at least 90°F on May 16, driving the market-implied odds for that outcome to 100%. Clear skies, southerly flow, and a warm air mass under high pressure favored strong daytime heating typical of mid-May climatology in central Texas, where afternoon temperatures frequently climb above seasonal averages. Official National Weather Service records and model verification show minimal cloud cover or precipitation interference, eliminating realistic pathways for cooler readings. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or station measurement revision could alter resolution, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the completed observation period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
$62,095 Vol.
$62,095 Vol.
May 16, 2026
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
100%
$62,095 Vol.
$62,095 Vol.
May 16, 2026
88-89°F
$12,557 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$8,785 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from the Austin Bergstrom International Airport station confirm a daily high of at least 90°F on May 16, driving the market-implied odds for that outcome to 100%. Clear skies, southerly flow, and a warm air mass under high pressure favored strong daytime heating typical of mid-May climatology in central Texas, where afternoon temperatures frequently climb above seasonal averages. Official National Weather Service records and model verification show minimal cloud cover or precipitation interference, eliminating realistic pathways for cooler readings. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or station measurement revision could alter resolution, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the completed observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$62,095End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from the Austin Bergstrom International Airport station confirm a daily high of at least 90°F on May 16, driving the market-implied odds for that outcome to 100%. Clear skies, southerly flow, and a warm air mass under high pressure favored strong daytime heating typical of mid-May climatology in central Texas, where afternoon temperatures frequently climb above seasonal averages. Official National Weather Service records and model verification show minimal cloud cover or precipitation interference, eliminating realistic pathways for cooler readings. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or station measurement revision could alter resolution, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the completed observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,095End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observational data from the Austin Bergstrom International Airport station confirm a daily high of at least 90°F on May 16, driving the market-implied odds for that outcome to 100%. Clear skies, southerly flow, and a warm air mass under high pressure favored strong daytime heating typical of mid-May climatology in central Texas, where afternoon temperatures frequently climb above seasonal averages. Official National Weather Service records and model verification show minimal cloud cover or precipitation interference, eliminating realistic pathways for cooler readings. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or station measurement revision could alter resolution, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the completed observation period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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