The market's near-certain positioning on 22°C as Milan's highest temperature for May 16 reflects verified observations from official meteorological stations across the city and surrounding Po Valley. These readings captured peak daytime values under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May, with limited daytime heating and no significant warm-air advection from the south. Ensemble forecasts issued in the preceding 48 hours by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight clustering around this range, consistent with historical climatological averages for the period. Any revision would require updated official station data or unrecognized urban heat-island effects, though neither appears in current monitoring reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 16?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,333 Vol.
$54,333 Vol.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,333 Vol.
$54,333 Vol.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
$1,364 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,278 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,694 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,580 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,238 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,679 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,407 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,363 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$14,637 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,562 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$2,531 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 22°C as Milan's highest temperature for May 16 reflects verified observations from official meteorological stations across the city and surrounding Po Valley. These readings captured peak daytime values under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May, with limited daytime heating and no significant warm-air advection from the south. Ensemble forecasts issued in the preceding 48 hours by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight clustering around this range, consistent with historical climatological averages for the period. Any revision would require updated official station data or unrecognized urban heat-island effects, though neither appears in current monitoring reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$54,333End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 22°C as Milan's highest temperature for May 16 reflects verified observations from official meteorological stations across the city and surrounding Po Valley. These readings captured peak daytime values under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May, with limited daytime heating and no significant warm-air advection from the south. Ensemble forecasts issued in the preceding 48 hours by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight clustering around this range, consistent with historical climatological averages for the period. Any revision would require updated official station data or unrecognized urban heat-island effects, though neither appears in current monitoring reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$54,333End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's near-certain positioning on 22°C as Milan's highest temperature for May 16 reflects verified observations from official meteorological stations across the city and surrounding Po Valley. These readings captured peak daytime values under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May, with limited daytime heating and no significant warm-air advection from the south. Ensemble forecasts issued in the preceding 48 hours by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight clustering around this range, consistent with historical climatological averages for the period. Any revision would require updated official station data or unrecognized urban heat-island effects, though neither appears in current monitoring reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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