Forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight minima in Jeddah of 29–32°C on August 28, driven by persistently high Red Sea sea-surface temperatures that limit radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 24–27°C. Light winds and variable cloud cover reduce the potential for stronger nocturnal drops, while typical late-summer subsidence suppresses significant cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and the absence of disruptive synoptic features such as stronger onshore flow or increased moisture. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise humidity advection and boundary-layer mixing forecasts issued by agencies monitoring the area.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on August 28?
31°C 46%
30°C 46%
29°C 45%
32°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
10%
28°C
44%
29°C
45%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C
45%
33°C
45%
34°C
42%
35°C or higher
28%
31°C 46%
30°C 46%
29°C 45%
32°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$27 Vol.
2%
26°C
$27 Vol.
8%
27°C
$27 Vol.
10%
28°C
$14 Vol.
44%
29°C
$0 Vol.
45%
30°C
$0 Vol.
46%
31°C
$0 Vol.
46%
32°C
$0 Vol.
45%
33°C
$0 Vol.
45%
34°C
$21 Vol.
42%
35°C or higher
$22 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight minima in Jeddah of 29–32°C on August 28, driven by persistently high Red Sea sea-surface temperatures that limit radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 24–27°C. Light winds and variable cloud cover reduce the potential for stronger nocturnal drops, while typical late-summer subsidence suppresses significant cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and the absence of disruptive synoptic features such as stronger onshore flow or increased moisture. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise humidity advection and boundary-layer mixing forecasts issued by agencies monitoring the area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$137End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight minima in Jeddah of 29–32°C on August 28, driven by persistently high Red Sea sea-surface temperatures that limit radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 24–27°C. Light winds and variable cloud cover reduce the potential for stronger nocturnal drops, while typical late-summer subsidence suppresses significant cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and the absence of disruptive synoptic features such as stronger onshore flow or increased moisture. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise humidity advection and boundary-layer mixing forecasts issued by agencies monitoring the area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$137End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight minima in Jeddah of 29–32°C on August 28, driven by persistently high Red Sea sea-surface temperatures that limit radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 24–27°C. Light winds and variable cloud cover reduce the potential for stronger nocturnal drops, while typical late-summer subsidence suppresses significant cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and the absence of disruptive synoptic features such as stronger onshore flow or increased moisture. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise humidity advection and boundary-layer mixing forecasts issued by agencies monitoring the area.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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