**Current forecasts for the overnight minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport (the primary official station for Seoul-area readings) on August 27 center on 24–26 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 25 °C (43.5 %) and 26 °C (35.5 %).** Persistent high humidity (often 80–90 %), widespread cloud cover, and light westerly winds are limiting radiational cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum mild and typical for late-August climatology in the region. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently indicates a 24 °C low, while several global models project 25–26 °C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The narrow spread among 24–26 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise hour and location of the minimum rather than any major synoptic shift; traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and historical analogs for similar humid, overcast late-summer nights. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 26 will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
26°C 49%
25°C 44%
24°C 6%
27°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
44%
26°C
49%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
25°C 44%
24°C 6%
27°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$138 Vol.
1%
21°C
$40 Vol.
1%
22°C
$119 Vol.
1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
4%
24°C
$272 Vol.
6%
25°C
$108 Vol.
44%
26°C
$1,441 Vol.
49%
27°C
$171 Vol.
5%
28°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$86 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for the overnight minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport (the primary official station for Seoul-area readings) on August 27 center on 24–26 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 25 °C (43.5 %) and 26 °C (35.5 %).**
Persistent high humidity (often 80–90 %), widespread cloud cover, and light westerly winds are limiting radiational cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum mild and typical for late-August climatology in the region. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently indicates a 24 °C low, while several global models project 25–26 °C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The narrow spread among 24–26 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise hour and location of the minimum rather than any major synoptic shift; traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and historical analogs for similar humid, overcast late-summer nights. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 26 will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,547End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for the overnight minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport (the primary official station for Seoul-area readings) on August 27 center on 24–26 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 25 °C (43.5 %) and 26 °C (35.5 %).**
Persistent high humidity (often 80–90 %), widespread cloud cover, and light westerly winds are limiting radiational cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum mild and typical for late-August climatology in the region. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently indicates a 24 °C low, while several global models project 25–26 °C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The narrow spread among 24–26 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise hour and location of the minimum rather than any major synoptic shift; traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and historical analogs for similar humid, overcast late-summer nights. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 26 will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,547End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for the overnight minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport (the primary official station for Seoul-area readings) on August 27 center on 24–26 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 25 °C (43.5 %) and 26 °C (35.5 %).** Persistent high humidity (often 80–90 %), widespread cloud cover, and light westerly winds are limiting radiational cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum mild and typical for late-August climatology in the region. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently indicates a 24 °C low, while several global models project 25–26 °C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The narrow spread among 24–26 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise hour and location of the minimum rather than any major synoptic shift; traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and historical analogs for similar humid, overcast late-summer nights. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 26 will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions